Compendium › Victor Volume › GLD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GLD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-2.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$19,117.43
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$19,608.21
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
10.3/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 75.7/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 55.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,608.21
Current Value
$19,117.43
Period P&L
$-490.78
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.92

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+1.39%
Worst Trade
-5.45%
Avg Trade Return
-2.73%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,268.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-490.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-490.78
Gross Return
-2.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $19,608.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET $456.60 45 $20,547.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $462.96 45 $20,833.20 $21,059.01 +$286.20
(+1.4%) 		📅 Sim Ended
7.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $471.76 44 $20,757.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $446.07 44 $19,627.08 $19,928.65 $-1,130.36
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $418.24 47 $19,657.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.98 47 $18,846.06 $19,117.43 $-811.22
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,117.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,117.43
Total Return: +91.17%
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