Compendium › Victor Volume › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+6.24%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,504.08
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,769.51
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:16:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 26.7/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,888
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,769.51
Current Value
$12,504.08
Period P&L
$734.58
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$72,312.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$734.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$734.58
Gross Return
+6.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,769.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $263.08 46 $12,101.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $268.15 46 $12,334.90 $12,390.04 +$233.22
(+1.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.26 46 $12,201.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $254.62 46 $11,712.52 $11,900.60 $-489.44
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $248.49 47 $11,679.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $261.33 47 $12,282.51 $12,504.08 +$603.48
(+5.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,504.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,504.08
Total Return: +25.04%
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