Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:17:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-30.2%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,812
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$195.19
Current Value
$155.66
Period P&L
$-75.50
Max Drawdown
-98.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
4 / 14
Best Trade
+8.21%
Worst Trade
-8.45%
Avg Trade Return
-1.81%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$7,172.98
Estimated Fees
$17.93
Gross P&L
$-75.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-93.43
Gross Return
-38.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-47.87%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $195.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 5:00pm ET $9.45 25 $235.28
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 10:25pm ET $8.86 25 $220.59 $209.74 $-15.83
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $9.16 23 $209.74
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 4:40am ET $8.77 23 $200.79 $200.79 $-9.98
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 4:05am ET $8.76 23 $200.79
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $9.47 23 $217.12 $217.12 +$15.29
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $9.53 23 $217.12
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 3:25am ET $9.13 23 $208.19 $208.19 $-10.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:40am ET $9.22 23 $208.19
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 4:35am ET $9.96 23 $224.98 $224.98 +$15.70
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 6:20pm ET $10.00 23 $224.98
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $10.82 23 $243.45 $243.45 +$17.30
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:00am ET $10.55 23 $243.45
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $10.12 23 $233.66 $233.66 $-10.98
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
8 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $10.16 23 $233.66
🔴 SELL May 16, 2026 5:20am ET $9.70 23 $223.08 $223.08 $-11.73
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY May 16, 2026 8:50am ET $9.67 23 $223.08
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 3:20am ET $9.27 23 $213.98 $213.98 $-10.20
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 9:05am ET $9.21 23 $213.98
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:05am ET $8.81 23 $204.72 $204.72 $-10.31
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:45am ET $8.84 23 $204.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $8.48 23 $196.29 $196.29 $-9.43
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $8.53 23 $196.29
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:45pm ET $8.18 23 $188.29 $188.29 $-8.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:45am ET $8.84 23 $204.72
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $8.09 23 $187.42 $170.99 $-18.28
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $8.03 21 $170.99
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:45am ET $7.69 21 $163.77 $163.77 $-8.06
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 8:20am ET $7.59 22 $163.77
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $7.28 22 $157.05 $157.05 $-7.52
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $7.32 21 $157.05
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:40am ET $7.01 21 $150.51 $150.51 $-7.31
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 11:55pm ET $7.57 20 $150.51
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 8:00pm ET $8.17 20 $162.56 $162.56 +$11.27
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 6:05am ET $8.23 20 $162.56
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET $7.88 20 $155.66 $155.66 $-7.70
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $155.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,844.34
Total Return: -98.44%
Back to Victor Volume