Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:12:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

7
-25.7%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,811
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$505.03
Current Value
$373.41
Period P&L
$-189.09
Max Drawdown
-96.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
3 / 13
Best Trade
+8.17%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
-2.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$14,679.32
Estimated Fees
$36.70
Gross P&L
$-189.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-225.79
Gross Return
-37.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-44.71%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $505.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 7:00am ET $55.81 10 $534.18
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:55pm ET $53.57 10 $512.74 $509.30 $-24.06
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:00pm ET $56.41 9 $509.30
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET $53.95 9 $487.09 $487.09 $-24.70
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $54.06 9 $487.09
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 6:40am ET $51.83 9 $467.00 $467.00 $-22.48
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.99 9 $467.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.15 9 $504.37 $504.37 +$34.94
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $55.22 9 $504.37
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $59.73 9 $545.56 $545.56 +$38.57
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 6:25pm ET $59.48 9 $545.56
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:35am ET $57.09 9 $523.64 $523.64 $-24.59
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:40am ET $57.34 9 $523.64
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:20pm ET $55.00 9 $502.27 $502.27 $-23.93
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $53.78 9 $502.27
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 3:50am ET $51.61 9 $482.00 $482.00 $-22.73
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 25, 2026 9:10am ET $52.78 9 $482.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:20am ET $50.58 9 $461.91 $461.91 $-22.45
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6d held
10 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $52.06 9 $461.91
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:10pm ET $49.87 9 $442.48 $442.48 $-21.69
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 8:25am ET $49.18 9 $442.48
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:50pm ET $46.78 9 $420.89 $420.89 $-23.75
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 8:25am ET $49.18 9 $442.48
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $45.97 9 $413.60 $392.01 $-31.02
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $44.84 9 $392.01
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $42.92 9 $375.22 $375.22 $-18.70
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 5:00am ET $43.93 9 $375.22
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:05am ET $42.12 9 $359.76 $359.76 $-17.30
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 7:35pm ET $41.15 9 $359.76
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2026 8:15pm ET $44.50 9 $389.05 $389.05 +$27.42
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:05am ET $45.53 9 $389.05
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:20am ET $43.70 9 $373.41 $373.41 $-17.54
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $373.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,626.59
Total Return: -96.27%
Back to Victor Volume