Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:29:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
3.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 9.1

30-Day Momentum

38
+13.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.8 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,468.69
Current Value
$10,150.05
Period P&L
$1,681.39
Max Drawdown
-71.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+9.63%
Worst Trade
-4.55%
Avg Trade Return
+3.04%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$126,865.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,681.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,681.39
Gross Return
+19.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,468.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:50am ET $8.82 946 $8,341.36
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $8.46 946 $8,003.07 $8,005.03 $-338.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $9.57 836 $8,004.70
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.35 836 $8,652.52 $8,652.85 +$647.82
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $10.37 834 $8,648.66
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $11.24 834 $9,378.33 $9,382.52 +$729.67
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $12.87 729 $9,382.23
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:00am ET $12.28 729 $8,955.76 $8,956.05 $-426.47
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.24 676 $8,950.24
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.52 676 $9,812.14 $9,817.95 +$861.90
(+9.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.28 687 $9,813.79
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $13.68 687 $9,394.73 $9,398.88 $-419.07
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 730 $9,388.53
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $13.89 730 $10,139.70 $10,150.05 +$751.17
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,150.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$150.05
Total Return: +1.50%
Back to Victor Volume