Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,825
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,870.09
Current Value
$5,463.48
Period P&L
$-406.65
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+8.83%
Worst Trade
-5.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,323.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-406.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-406.65
Gross Return
-6.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $5,870.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $40.40 145 $5,858.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $43.81 145 $6,351.73 $6,363.86 +$493.72
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $49.77 127 $6,320.79
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET $53.85 127 $6,839.58 $6,882.65 +$518.79
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $54.36 126 $6,849.46
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $51.40 126 $6,475.77 $6,508.96 $-373.69
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $52.99 122 $6,464.78
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET $50.76 122 $6,192.99 $6,237.17 $-271.79
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $55.17 113 $6,234.77
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET $52.66 113 $5,950.58 $5,952.97 $-284.19
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET $52.96 112 $5,931.89
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $50.80 112 $5,689.60 $5,710.68 $-242.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $53.07 107 $5,678.30
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:10am ET $50.84 107 $5,439.88 $5,472.26 $-238.42
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.40 110 $5,434.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.76 110 $5,913.60 $5,951.86 +$479.60
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.64 106 $5,897.84
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.23 106 $5,642.38 $5,696.40 $-255.46
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $47.07 121 $5,695.47
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $45.15 121 $5,462.55 $5,463.48 $-232.92
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,463.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,536.52
Total Return: -45.37%
Back to Victor Volume