Compendium › Victor Volume › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+12.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,837.33
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,506.33
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
3.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 8.2/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 7.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,880
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,506.33
Current Value
$11,837.33
Period P&L
$1,330.96
Max Drawdown
-60.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+16.37%
Worst Trade
-4.36%
Avg Trade Return
+3.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,082.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,330.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,330.96
Gross Return
+12.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,506.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $14.35 732 $10,500.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $15.16 732 $11,097.12 $11,102.95 +$596.58
(+5.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $17.12 648 $11,093.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:10am ET $16.37 648 $10,610.55 $10,619.74 $-483.21
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $17.58 604 $10,618.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $16.84 604 $10,172.21 $10,173.63 $-446.11
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $19.40 524 $10,162.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 524 $11,826.68 $11,837.33 +$1,663.70
(+16.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,837.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,837.33
Total Return: +18.37%
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