Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:30:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-20.2%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,815
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$557.56
Current Value
$419.27
Period P&L
$-248.04
Max Drawdown
-95.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
6 / 20
Best Trade
+8.80%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
-1.40%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$26,371.10
Estimated Fees
$65.93
Gross P&L
$-248.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-313.97
Gross Return
-44.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-56.31%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $557.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $92.31 7 $638.33
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 10:25pm ET $87.69 7 $606.38 $595.86 $-35.06
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 4:25am ET $87.29 7 $595.86
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET $83.37 7 $569.10 $569.10 $-29.67
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 12:55am ET $82.78 7 $569.10
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $79.46 7 $546.28 $546.28 $-25.61
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 4:45am ET $84.52 6 $546.28
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 5:55am ET $80.63 6 $521.14 $521.14 $-27.81
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.14 6 $521.14
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15pm ET $78.68 6 $499.19 $499.19 $-24.50
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $78.92 6 $499.19
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:10pm ET $85.53 6 $541.00 $541.00 +$39.21
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:05am ET $84.90 6 $541.00
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 10:45am ET $81.43 6 $518.89 $518.89 $-24.76
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 7:00am ET $81.87 6 $518.89
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $88.58 6 $561.42 $561.42 +$39.83
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 8:00pm ET $89.18 6 $561.42
🔴 SELL Apr 18, 2026 10:25pm ET $85.38 6 $537.50 $537.50 $-26.67
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 1:30am ET $85.70 6 $537.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $81.95 6 $513.98 $513.98 $-26.15
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $81.73 6 $513.98
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 4:45am ET $88.42 6 $556.05 $556.05 +$39.40
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.6d held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:25am ET $88.15 6 $556.05
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $95.43 6 $601.97 $601.97 +$43.03
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 5:05pm ET $95.02 6 $601.97
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:15am ET $91.11 6 $577.20 $577.20 $-27.72
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:50am ET $92.85 6 $577.20
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $89.11 6 $553.95 $553.95 $-26.08
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
15 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:45pm ET $88.97 6 $553.95
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $84.39 6 $525.43 $525.43 $-31.21
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:35am ET $83.97 6 $525.43
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:55pm ET $80.60 6 $504.34 $504.34 $-23.66
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.5d held
17 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $80.74 6 $504.34
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $77.18 6 $482.10 $482.10 $-24.70
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 5:25pm ET $75.79 6 $482.10
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40pm ET $72.75 6 $462.76 $462.76 $-21.70
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:50pm ET $72.88 6 $462.76
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:15pm ET $69.70 6 $442.57 $442.57 $-22.46
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:20pm ET $69.51 6 $442.57
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:40am ET $66.67 6 $424.49 $424.49 $-20.25
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $64.56 7 $424.49
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $61.89 7 $406.93 $406.93 $-19.63
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 4:05pm ET $64.00 6 $406.93
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:15am ET $61.27 6 $389.58 $389.58 $-19.35
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 10:05pm ET $63.65 6 $389.58
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2026 5:45pm ET $69.25 6 $423.86 $423.86 +$32.24
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2026 10:15pm ET $68.99 6 $423.86
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET $74.52 6 $457.84 $457.84 +$31.77
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 8:45pm ET $74.30 6 $457.84
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 6:05pm ET $71.09 6 $438.06 $438.06 $-22.02
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 8:00pm ET $72.04 6 $438.06
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $68.95 6 $419.27 $419.27 $-20.93
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $419.27
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,580.73
Total Return: -95.81%
Back to Victor Volume