Compendium › Victor Volume › SOXL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOXL
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 2 trades in period

+3.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,625.10
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$15,144.95
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:11:12

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 24.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 22.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,144.95
Current Value
$15,625.10
Period P&L
$480.14
Max Drawdown
-75.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
+1.82%
Avg Hold Time
9.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$62,927.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$480.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$480.14
Gross Return
+3.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,144.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $261.57 57 $14,909.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET $282.77 57 $16,117.88 $16,353.35 +$1,208.39
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $223.48 73 $16,314.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $213.50 73 $15,585.79 $15,625.10 $-728.25
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,625.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,625.10
Total Return: +56.25%
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