Compendium › Victor Volume › SPY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPY
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 1 trades in period

+3.32%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,411.91
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$12,012.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
10.7/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,012.94
Current Value
$12,411.91
Period P&L
$398.99
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
1
Winners / Losers
1 / 0
Best Trade
+1.57%
Worst Trade
+1.57%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
19.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$23,452.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$398.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$398.99
Gross Return
+3.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 1 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,012.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $684.40 17 $11,634.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $695.17 17 $11,817.89 $12,411.91 +$183.09
(+1.6%) 		📅 Sim Ended
19.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,411.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,411.91
Total Return: +24.12%
Back to Victor Volume