Compendium › Victor Volume › USO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
USO
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.12%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,506.17
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,755.60
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:20

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 22.9/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,855
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,755.60
Current Value
$11,506.17
Period P&L
$-249.43
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+9.29%
Worst Trade
-8.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,170.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-249.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-249.43
Gross Return
-2.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,755.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:55am ET $75.82 154 $11,676.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $77.78 154 $11,978.12 $12,011.24 +$301.84
(+2.6%) 		📅 Sim Ended
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $80.21 149 $11,952.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $87.67 149 $13,062.83 $13,122.04 +$1,110.80
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $124.96 105 $13,120.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 105 $12,059.65 $12,061.41 $-1,060.63
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $142.12 84 $11,938.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $135.51 84 $11,382.84 $11,506.17 $-555.24
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,506.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,506.17
Total Return: +15.06%
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