Compendium › Victor Volume › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+4.76%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,354.58
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,793.25
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 18.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,885
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,793.25
Current Value
$12,354.58
Period P&L
$561.28
Max Drawdown
-42.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+11.92%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.81%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$72,803.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$561.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$561.28
Gross Return
+4.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,793.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.39 430 $11,777.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $26.71 430 $11,485.30 $11,500.90 $-292.40
(-2.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $27.34 420 $11,482.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.60 420 $12,852.00 $12,870.10 +$1,369.20
(+11.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $29.57 435 $12,860.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.38 435 $12,345.26 $12,354.58 $-515.52
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,354.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,354.58
Total Return: +23.55%
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