Compendium › Victor Volume › XLE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLE
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+19.34%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,493.66
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$12,145.07
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 37.7/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 32.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,145.07
Current Value
$14,493.66
Period P&L
$2,348.59
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Sharpe Ratio
13.48

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+8.03%
Worst Trade
+6.82%
Avg Trade Return
+7.62%
Avg Hold Time
14d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$77,683.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,348.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,348.59
Gross Return
+19.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,145.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.11 232 $11,624.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $53.52 232 $12,416.64 $12,425.79 +$792.28
(+6.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $54.44 228 $12,411.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:10am ET $58.79 228 $13,405.26 $13,419.87 +$994.08
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $54.38 246 $13,376.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.74 246 $14,450.04 $14,493.66 +$1,073.79
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,493.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,493.66
Total Return: +44.94%
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