Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:31:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-33.8%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,815
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$2,921.02
Current Value
$1,965.17
Period P&L
$-1,375.19
Max Drawdown
-83.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
3 / 15
Best Trade
+8.23%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-2.41%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$93,272.89
Estimated Fees
$233.18
Gross P&L
$-1,375.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,608.37
Gross Return
-47.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-55.06%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $2,921.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $1.45 2,097 $3,048.33
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:30am ET $1.40 2,097 $2,926.17 $3,013.43 $-137.10
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $1.39 2,174 $3,013.43
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 8:20am ET $1.33 2,174 $2,891.53 $2,891.53 $-136.67
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $1.33 2,168 $2,891.53
🔴 SELL Apr 5, 2026 8:50am ET $1.28 2,168 $2,773.82 $2,773.82 $-131.87
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.30 2,133 $2,773.82
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:40pm ET $1.40 2,133 $2,997.30 $2,997.30 +$209.05
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:45pm ET $1.41 2,128 $2,997.30
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $1.35 2,128 $2,875.08 $2,875.08 $-136.90
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.6d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $1.37 2,093 $2,875.08
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.49 2,093 $3,111.66 $3,111.66 +$221.61
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:45am ET $1.45 2,140 $3,111.66
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $1.39 2,140 $2,969.45 $2,969.45 $-157.41
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 7:25am ET $1.38 2,149 $2,969.45
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 3:50am ET $1.30 2,149 $2,802.04 $2,802.04 $-181.84
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 24, 2026 3:00am ET $1.36 2,058 $2,802.04
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 7:20pm ET $1.31 2,058 $2,689.20 $2,689.20 $-126.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
10 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.30 2,064 $2,689.20
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1.24 2,064 $2,565.18 $2,565.18 $-137.16
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $1.22 2,102 $2,565.18
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET $1.17 2,102 $2,461.68 $2,461.68 $-116.07
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $1.15 2,133 $2,461.68
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $1.10 2,133 $2,341.59 $2,341.59 $-132.10
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 5:00am ET $1.13 2,075 $2,341.59
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $1.08 2,075 $2,243.34 $2,243.34 $-109.72
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $1.15 2,133 $2,461.68
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET $1.07 2,133 $2,276.84 $2,058.50 $-196.69
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 7:15am ET $1.15 1,784 $2,058.50
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:35am ET $1.11 1,784 $1,974.95 $1,974.95 $-93.63
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 8:30am ET $1.12 1,770 $1,974.95
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 7:10am ET $1.21 1,770 $2,136.49 $2,136.49 +$151.26
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:25am ET $1.26 1,694 $2,136.49
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $1.21 1,694 $2,049.75 $2,049.75 $-97.21
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 7:25pm ET $1.22 1,685 $2,049.75
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:50am ET $1.17 1,685 $1,965.17 $1,965.17 $-94.62
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,965.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,034.83
Total Return: -80.35%
Back to Victor Volume