BTCUSD Victor Volume's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 34 trades in period
-43.48%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,596.23
Current Value
26%
Win Rate
$9,440.64
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
5.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 5.2
30-Day Momentum
58
+21.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.0
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+52 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,295
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,440.64
Current Value
$5,596.23
Period P&L
$-4,104.56
Max Drawdown
-66.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
9 /
25
Best Trade
+8.62%
Worst Trade
-4.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.99%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$430,374.53
Estimated Fees
$1,075.94
Gross P&L
$-4,104.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,180.50
Gross Return
-43.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-54.87%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,440.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 3:40pm ET | $100,990.00 | 0 | $9,202.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:35pm ET | $96,880.10 | 0 | $8,828.24 | $8,783.16 |
$-419.59 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 2:45am ET | $97,411.80 | 0 | $8,783.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 16, 2025 4:45pm ET | $93,391.50 | 0 | $8,420.67 | $8,377.66 |
$-405.50 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 5:00pm ET | $93,755.00 | 0 | $8,377.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:30pm ET | $89,696.90 | 0 | $8,015.04 | $7,974.06 |
$-403.60 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:45pm ET | $90,260.00 | 0 | $7,974.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:45pm ET | $86,646.70 | 0 | $7,654.84 | $7,615.77 |
$-358.29 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:20pm ET | $86,851.00 | 0 | $7,615.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 4:25am ET | $83,257.00 | 0 | $7,300.62 | $7,263.33 |
$-352.44 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 6:00am ET | $83,090.00 | 0 | $7,263.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:45pm ET | $89,860.00 | 0 | $7,855.13 | $7,817.33 |
+$554.00 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 4:00pm ET | $89,999.90 | 0 | $7,817.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 30, 2025 10:30pm ET | $86,356.00 | 0 | $7,500.82 | $7,462.53 |
$-354.80 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 10:50pm ET | $86,318.30 | 0 | $7,462.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:55pm ET | $93,359.00 | 0 | $8,071.22 | $8,032.39 |
+$569.86 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 12:00am ET | $93,366.80 | 0 | $8,032.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $89,535.14 | 0 | $7,702.75 | $7,663.41 |
$-368.98 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $89,321.70 | 0 | $7,663.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 12:35pm ET | $85,712.40 | 0 | $7,353.75 | $7,316.21 |
$-347.21 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 5:50pm ET | $86,152.10 | 0 | $7,316.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 8:40pm ET | $93,076.00 | 0 | $7,904.20 | $7,866.15 |
+$549.94 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 4:20am ET | $92,474.00 | 0 | $7,866.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 5:30pm ET | $88,221.00 | 0 | $7,504.37 | $7,465.95 |
$-400.20 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 7:00pm ET | $88,454.40 | 0 | $7,465.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $84,467.75 | 0 | $7,129.45 | $7,092.97 |
$-372.98 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 6:45pm ET | $84,591.00 | 0 | $7,092.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $80,964.50 | 0 | $6,788.88 | $6,754.18 |
$-338.79 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $81,292.01 | 0 | $6,754.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 1:35pm ET | $77,581.00 | 0 | $6,445.85 | $6,412.85 |
$-341.33 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $77,669.00 | 0 | $6,412.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET | $74,543.62 | 0 | $6,154.80 | $6,123.38 |
$-289.47 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:40am ET | $76,424.00 | 0 | $6,123.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $73,208.30 | 0 | $5,865.72 | $5,835.75 |
$-287.63 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10pm ET | $76,542.12 | 0 | $5,835.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $73,451.97 | 0 | $5,600.15 | $5,571.56 |
$-264.19 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $73,471.94 | 0 | $5,571.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:15am ET | $70,488.00 | 0 | $5,345.28 | $5,317.99 |
$-253.57 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 4:05am ET | $71,580.97 | 0 | $5,317.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $68,489.43 | 0 | $5,088.31 | $5,062.29 |
$-255.70 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $66,821.00 | 0 | $5,062.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $64,126.00 | 0 | $4,858.12 | $4,833.32 |
$-228.97 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $66,725.76 | 0 | $4,833.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $69,637.83 | 0 | $5,044.26 | $5,019.56 |
+$186.24 (+4.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:15am ET | $67,854.70 | 0 | $5,019.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:20pm ET | $65,120.00 | 0 | $4,817.26 | $4,817.26 |
$-226.89 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:10am ET | $65,126.60 | 0 | $4,817.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET | $70,738.80 | 0 | $5,232.38 | $5,232.38 |
+$390.00 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 7:50am ET | $71,152.40 | 0 | $5,232.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $68,254.60 | 0 | $5,019.28 | $5,019.28 |
$-238.73 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 4:00pm ET | $68,156.50 | 0 | $5,019.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $73,853.80 | 0 | $5,438.85 | $5,438.85 |
+$393.42 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $72,662.50 | 0 | $5,438.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:20am ET | $69,692.60 | 0 | $5,216.55 | $5,216.55 |
$-248.94 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 7:50am ET | $71,152.40 | 0 | $5,232.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 22, 2026 7:55am ET | $68,300.40 | 0 | $5,022.65 | $5,006.82 |
$-235.37 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $71,195.40 | 0 | $5,006.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $68,346.30 | 0 | $4,806.46 | $4,806.46 |
$-224.90 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $68,549.50 | 0 | $4,806.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $65,770.40 | 0 | $4,611.60 | $4,611.60 |
$-218.41 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 7:30pm ET | $65,958.30 | 0 | $4,611.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 7:00pm ET | $71,498.00 | 0 | $4,998.92 | $4,998.92 |
+$363.29 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $70,999.90 | 0 | $4,998.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:10am ET | $76,699.40 | 0 | $5,400.21 | $5,400.21 |
+$375.29 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 18, 2026 12:05am ET | $77,109.80 | 0 | $5,400.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 19, 2026 6:05pm ET | $73,915.20 | 0 | $5,176.48 | $5,176.48 |
$-250.17 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:40am ET | $74,858.20 | 0 | $5,176.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:40pm ET | $80,928.30 | 0 | $5,596.23 | $5,596.23 |
+$392.82 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,596.23
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,403.77
Total Return:
-44.04%