Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.0/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 33.9/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 27.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,928
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,109.25
Current Value
$14,464.67
Period P&L
$-1,644.58
Max Drawdown
-22.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-4.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.96%
Avg Hold Time
13.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$292,314.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,644.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,644.58
Gross Return
-10.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $16,109.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $920.13 17 $15,642.21
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET $880.68 17 $14,971.58 $15,301.43 $-670.63
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $898.81 17 $15,279.72
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $879.74 17 $14,955.58 $14,977.29 $-324.14
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $886.13 16 $14,178.08
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET $849.76 16 $13,596.21 $14,395.42 $-581.87
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:40pm ET $861.84 16 $13,789.44
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $885.23 16 $14,163.68 $14,769.66 +$374.24
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $916.26 16 $14,660.16
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $990.48 16 $15,847.60 $15,957.10 +$1,187.44
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $970.60 16 $15,529.60
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:50am ET $931.65 16 $14,906.40 $15,333.90 $-623.20
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $968.39 15 $14,525.85
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $978.63 15 $14,679.45 $15,487.50 +$153.60
(+1.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
7.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,011.50 15 $15,172.50
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $966.29 15 $14,494.42 $14,809.42 $-678.08
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,001.89 14 $14,026.39
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,017.84 14 $14,249.76 $15,032.79 +$223.37
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,007.64 14 $14,106.96
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $967.06 14 $13,538.84 $14,464.67 $-568.12
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,464.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,464.67
Total Return: +44.65%
Back to Victor Volume