Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:10:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.3/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 63.1/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 61.5

30-Day Momentum

19
+6.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$59,672.97
Current Value
$52,670.03
Period P&L
$-7,002.87
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+8.88%
Worst Trade
-7.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,716,912.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-7,002.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-7,002.87
Gross Return
-11.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $59,672.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:50pm ET $119.67 489 $58,520.34
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET $114.77 489 $56,124.58 $56,144.37 $-2,395.76
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $112.62 498 $56,084.76
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:55am ET $122.07 498 $60,788.37 $60,847.98 +$4,703.61
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $121.90 499 $60,825.61
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $116.62 499 $58,193.38 $58,215.75 $-2,632.23
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $117.10 497 $58,196.22
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $111.90 497 $55,614.54 $55,634.08 $-2,581.67
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $108.76 511 $55,576.36
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $104.28 511 $53,284.53 $53,342.25 $-2,291.84
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.25 526 $53,257.50
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $93.50 526 $49,181.00 $49,265.75 $-4,076.50
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.08 565 $49,200.20
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 565 $46,703.13 $46,768.67 $-2,497.07
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $78.76 593 $46,703.85
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $74.56 593 $44,211.12 $44,275.94 $-2,492.73
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $82.77 534 $44,199.18
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $86.16 534 $46,009.44 $46,086.20 +$1,810.26
(+4.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $77.53 594 $46,052.82
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.49 594 $43,650.09 $43,683.47 $-2,402.73
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $74.86 583 $43,643.38
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $71.61 583 $41,748.63 $41,788.72 $-1,894.75
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $83.46 500 $41,730.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $90.88 500 $45,437.50 $45,495.57 +$3,706.85
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 631 $45,463.55
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:35am ET $78.10 631 $49,281.10 $49,313.12 +$3,817.55
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.80 650 $49,267.21
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $82.01 650 $53,306.50 $53,352.42 +$4,039.30
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $89.29 597 $53,306.19
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 597 $50,810.67 $50,856.90 $-2,495.52
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $84.81 599 $50,801.19
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.00 599 $48,519.00 $48,574.71 $-2,282.19
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $86.26 563 $48,562.07
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $93.53 563 $52,657.39 $52,670.03 +$4,095.32
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,670.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,670.03
Total Return: +426.70%
Back to Victor Volume