Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 19:37:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,812.79
Current Value
$14,886.41
Period P&L
$-3,926.38
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+8.03%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
-1.54%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$452,363.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,926.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,926.38
Gross Return
-20.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $18,812.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $558.09 32 $17,858.88
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $572.63 32 $18,324.16 $18,810.23 +$465.28
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $558.42 33 $18,427.86
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET $603.28 33 $19,908.24 $20,290.61 +$1,480.38
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $584.00 34 $19,856.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $560.03 34 $19,041.02 $19,475.63 $-814.98
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $541.84 35 $18,964.23
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $519.56 35 $18,184.60 $18,696.00 $-779.63
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $530.23 35 $18,558.05
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $506.96 35 $17,743.60 $17,881.55 $-814.45
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:40am ET $505.74 35 $17,700.90
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $484.89 35 $16,971.15 $17,151.80 $-729.75
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $479.74 35 $16,791.07
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $497.28 35 $17,404.80 $17,765.53 +$613.73
(+3.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $490.39 36 $17,654.04
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:30am ET $488.06 36 $17,570.31 $17,681.80 $-83.73
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $478.56 36 $17,228.16
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $459.03 36 $16,524.96 $16,978.60 $-703.20
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $458.19 37 $16,953.03
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $456.44 37 $16,888.28 $16,913.85 $-64.75
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $465.57 36 $16,760.34
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 36 $16,047.00 $16,200.51 $-713.34
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.03 36 $15,877.09
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $422.45 36 $15,208.20 $15,531.62 $-668.89
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $424.49 36 $15,281.55
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 36 $14,636.34 $14,886.41 $-645.21
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,886.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,886.41
Total Return: +48.86%
Back to Victor Volume