LTCUSD Victor Volume's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 48 trades in period
-56.82%
Last 6 Months Return
$504.37
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$1,103.91
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality
2.9/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 2.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,282
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$1,103.91
Current Value
$504.37
Period P&L
$-627.26
Max Drawdown
-96.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
13 /
35
Best Trade
+9.88%
Worst Trade
-8.21%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$79,007.74
Estimated Fees
$197.52
Gross P&L
$-627.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-824.78
Gross Return
-56.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-74.71%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $1,103.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 2:40am ET | $87.18 | 12 | $1,079.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 11:15am ET | $94.54 | 12 | $1,170.45 | $1,164.83 |
+$85.50 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:25am ET | $99.97 | 12 | $1,164.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2025 7:05pm ET | $109.85 | 12 | $1,279.95 | $1,273.83 |
+$109.01 (+9.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 1:30am ET | $101.23 | 13 | $1,273.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 9, 2025 10:15am ET | $109.49 | 13 | $1,377.77 | $1,371.15 |
+$97.31 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 1:50pm ET | $108.44 | 13 | $1,371.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 7:10pm ET | $103.97 | 13 | $1,314.63 | $1,307.91 |
$-63.23 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:10pm ET | $104.79 | 12 | $1,307.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 12:25pm ET | $100.50 | 12 | $1,254.37 | $1,247.96 |
$-59.95 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:25pm ET | $100.14 | 12 | $1,247.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $95.62 | 12 | $1,191.66 | $1,185.56 |
$-62.40 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $96.85 | 12 | $1,185.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:55pm ET | $105.18 | 12 | $1,287.47 | $1,281.29 |
+$95.73 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2025 12:40am ET | $103.51 | 12 | $1,281.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 16, 2025 10:10am ET | $99.29 | 12 | $1,229.05 | $1,222.78 |
$-58.51 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $99.10 | 12 | $1,222.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 16, 2025 4:05pm ET | $95.07 | 12 | $1,173.05 | $1,167.06 |
$-55.72 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 4:10pm ET | $95.34 | 12 | $1,167.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:35pm ET | $91.31 | 12 | $1,117.73 | $1,112.02 |
$-55.04 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 4:00pm ET | $92.15 | 12 | $1,112.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $88.00 | 12 | $1,061.94 | $1,056.50 |
$-55.51 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 2:05pm ET | $86.45 | 12 | $1,056.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $82.79 | 12 | $1,011.78 | $1,006.61 |
$-49.90 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:35am ET | $84.22 | 12 | $1,006.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 7:20am ET | $80.12 | 12 | $957.60 | $952.69 |
$-53.91 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 7:25am ET | $80.14 | 12 | $952.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:55pm ET | $86.75 | 12 | $1,031.27 | $1,026.31 |
+$73.62 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:10pm ET | $86.24 | 12 | $1,026.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 30, 2025 6:50pm ET | $82.61 | 12 | $983.11 | $978.09 |
$-48.22 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 10:00pm ET | $78.59 | 12 | $978.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $75.12 | 12 | $934.90 | $930.12 |
$-47.97 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $75.24 | 12 | $930.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $81.69 | 12 | $1,009.90 | $1,005.05 |
+$74.93 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:45am ET | $82.91 | 12 | $1,005.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $79.54 | 12 | $964.20 | $959.28 |
$-45.78 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $78.95 | 12 | $959.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:45pm ET | $75.63 | 12 | $918.94 | $914.24 |
$-45.04 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 2:40pm ET | $75.64 | 12 | $914.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 4:50pm ET | $81.76 | 12 | $988.21 | $983.46 |
+$69.21 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 5:00pm ET | $81.93 | 12 | $983.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 11, 2026 7:00pm ET | $78.63 | 12 | $943.85 | $939.03 |
$-44.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 11, 2026 9:05pm ET | $78.81 | 12 | $939.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 5:30am ET | $75.37 | 12 | $898.04 | $893.45 |
$-45.58 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 6:00am ET | $75.60 | 12 | $893.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $71.74 | 12 | $847.85 | $843.50 |
$-49.95 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $72.10 | 12 | $843.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:30pm ET | $69.10 | 12 | $808.40 | $804.27 |
$-39.23 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 9:30pm ET | $69.98 | 11 | $804.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 4:00pm ET | $67.15 | 11 | $771.75 | $767.81 |
$-36.46 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 7:35pm ET | $67.66 | 11 | $767.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $64.93 | 11 | $736.83 | $733.07 |
$-34.74 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $66.23 | 11 | $733.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:25am ET | $63.53 | 11 | $703.18 | $699.59 |
$-33.48 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:10am ET | $64.33 | 11 | $699.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:15am ET | $61.69 | 11 | $670.84 | $667.41 |
$-32.18 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.07 | 11 | $667.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 1:35pm ET | $57.29 | 11 | $636.52 | $633.26 |
$-34.15 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 1:45pm ET | $57.89 | 11 | $633.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $55.36 | 11 | $605.59 | $602.49 |
$-30.77 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $53.64 | 11 | $602.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $51.43 | 11 | $577.67 | $574.72 |
$-27.77 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $51.27 | 11 | $574.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $47.06 | 11 | $527.52 | $524.77 |
$-49.95 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 4:20am ET | $51.26 | 10 | $524.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $55.42 | 10 | $567.36 | $564.63 |
+$39.86 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.57 | 10 | $564.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET | $53.21 | 10 | $540.65 | $537.88 |
$-26.74 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 6:55am ET | $53.18 | 10 | $537.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $53.58 | 10 | $541.95 | $539.25 |
+$1.36 (+0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 2:30am ET | $55.29 | 10 | $539.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 4:05pm ET | $53.03 | 10 | $517.20 | $517.20 |
$-24.69 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:55pm ET | $53.57 | 10 | $517.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:25pm ET | $51.33 | 10 | $495.57 | $495.57 |
$-24.16 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 4:30am ET | $52.36 | 9 | $495.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.80 | 9 | $537.59 | $537.59 |
+$39.44 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:50pm ET | $56.60 | 9 | $537.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $54.27 | 9 | $515.46 | $515.46 |
$-24.76 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $54.11 | 10 | $515.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 3:20am ET | $51.90 | 10 | $494.41 | $494.41 |
$-23.58 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 8:30am ET | $51.96 | 10 | $494.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 4:00am ET | $56.14 | 10 | $534.18 | $534.18 |
+$37.20 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 7:00am ET | $55.81 | 10 | $534.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.52 | 10 | $512.26 | $512.26 |
$-24.53 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $53.32 | 10 | $512.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:30am ET | $57.65 | 10 | $553.86 | $553.86 |
+$38.93 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.6d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:40am ET | $57.48 | 10 | $553.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:15am ET | $55.08 | 10 | $530.74 | $530.74 |
$-25.84 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 7:00am ET | $55.81 | 10 | $534.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 22, 2026 4:55pm ET | $53.57 | 10 | $512.74 | $509.30 |
$-24.06 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:00pm ET | $56.41 | 9 | $509.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET | $53.95 | 9 | $487.09 | $487.09 |
$-24.70 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.06 | 9 | $487.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 6:40am ET | $51.83 | 9 | $467.00 | $467.00 |
$-22.48 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.99 | 9 | $467.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $56.15 | 9 | $504.37 | $504.37 |
+$34.94 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$504.37
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9,495.63
Total Return:
-94.96%