Compendium › Victor Volume › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-20 to present • 22 trades in period

-2.41%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,150.05
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$10,401.25
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:29:41

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
3.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 9.1

30-Day Momentum

38
+13.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.8 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,016
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,401.25
Current Value
$10,150.05
Period P&L
$-251.16
Max Drawdown
-71.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
8 / 14
Best Trade
+9.63%
Worst Trade
-6.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$401,012.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-251.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-251.16
Gross Return
-2.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,401.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $9.99 1,021 $10,194.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET $9.55 1,021 $9,750.45 $9,757.88 $-444.24
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 12:30pm ET $9.45 1,032 $9,750.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:55pm ET $9.07 1,032 $9,355.08 $9,362.11 $-395.77
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $9.88 947 $9,353.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.72 947 $10,147.11 $10,156.17 +$794.06
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $10.07 1,008 $10,153.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $10.99 1,008 $11,077.92 $11,081.01 +$924.84
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $11.12 996 $11,070.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.40 996 $10,353.42 $10,363.89 $-717.12
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $10.60 978 $10,361.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $10.17 978 $9,941.37 $9,943.35 $-420.54
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:20am ET $10.29 966 $9,935.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $9.85 966 $9,512.69 $9,520.72 $-422.63
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:15am ET $9.68 984 $9,520.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $9.16 984 $9,012.75 $9,013.27 $-507.45
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $7.39 1,218 $9,007.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $7.06 1,218 $8,600.66 $8,606.83 $-406.45
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $8.31 1,036 $8,603.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,036 $8,106.70 $8,109.54 $-497.28
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.55 948 $8,105.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $8.20 948 $7,773.60 $7,777.74 $-331.80
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $8.79 884 $7,770.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $8.40 884 $7,424.45 $7,431.83 $-345.91
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $8.15 912 $7,428.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET $8.81 912 $8,030.16 $8,033.75 +$601.92
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $8.50 945 $8,032.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.23 945 $8,717.63 $8,718.88 +$685.13
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET $9.52 916 $8,715.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET $9.10 916 $8,340.18 $8,343.32 $-375.56
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:50am ET $8.82 946 $8,341.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $8.46 946 $8,003.07 $8,005.03 $-338.29
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $9.57 836 $8,004.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.35 836 $8,652.52 $8,652.85 +$647.82
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $10.37 834 $8,648.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $11.24 834 $9,378.33 $9,382.52 +$729.67
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $12.87 729 $9,382.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:00am ET $12.28 729 $8,955.76 $8,956.05 $-426.47
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.24 676 $8,950.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.52 676 $9,812.14 $9,817.95 +$861.90
(+9.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.28 687 $9,813.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $13.68 687 $9,394.73 $9,398.88 $-419.07
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 730 $9,388.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $13.89 730 $10,139.70 $10,150.05 +$751.17
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,150.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$150.05
Total Return: +1.50%
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