MARA Victor Volume's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 29 trades in period
-42.14%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,382.52
Current Value
21%
Win Rate
$16,216.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
5.7/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 5.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,406
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$16,216.75
Current Value
$9,382.52
Period P&L
$-6,834.20
Max Drawdown
-71.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
6 /
23
Best Trade
+9.11%
Worst Trade
-6.48%
Avg Trade Return
-1.76%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$611,630.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,834.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,834.20
Gross Return
-42.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $16,216.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.33 | 942 | $16,320.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $16.63 | 942 | $15,664.14 | $15,670.63 |
$-656.01 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:10pm ET | $15.47 | 1,012 | $15,655.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET | $14.81 | 1,012 | $14,982.66 | $14,997.65 |
$-672.98 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:35pm ET | $14.27 | 1,051 | $14,993.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET | $13.69 | 1,051 | $14,388.72 | $14,393.22 |
$-604.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 3:50pm ET | $11.47 | 1,255 | $14,388.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET | $11.00 | 1,255 | $13,798.73 | $13,803.37 |
$-589.85 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET | $10.30 | 1,340 | $13,795.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $9.80 | 1,340 | $13,132.00 | $13,140.07 |
$-663.30 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET | $11.16 | 1,177 | $13,135.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $10.69 | 1,177 | $12,582.13 | $12,586.76 |
$-553.31 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:25pm ET | $11.09 | 1,135 | $12,585.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $10.65 | 1,135 | $12,082.08 | $12,082.94 |
$-503.83 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:45pm ET | $12.43 | 972 | $12,081.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $11.93 | 972 | $11,591.20 | $11,592.17 |
$-490.76 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $11.93 | 971 | $11,585.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $11.43 | 971 | $11,098.53 | $11,105.61 |
$-486.57 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $11.54 | 962 | $11,101.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:40am ET | $11.07 | 962 | $10,649.34 | $10,653.47 |
$-452.14 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 3:00pm ET | $10.62 | 1,003 | $10,646.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $10.17 | 1,003 | $10,195.50 | $10,202.12 |
$-451.35 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $9.99 | 1,021 | $10,194.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $9.55 | 1,021 | $9,750.45 | $9,757.88 |
$-444.24 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 12:30pm ET | $9.45 | 1,032 | $9,750.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:55pm ET | $9.07 | 1,032 | $9,355.08 | $9,362.11 |
$-395.77 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $9.88 | 947 | $9,353.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.72 | 947 | $10,147.11 | $10,156.17 |
+$794.06 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.07 | 1,008 | $10,153.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.99 | 1,008 | $11,077.92 | $11,081.01 |
+$924.84 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.12 | 996 | $11,070.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.40 | 996 | $10,353.42 | $10,363.89 |
$-717.12 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.60 | 978 | $10,361.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.17 | 978 | $9,941.37 | $9,943.35 |
$-420.54 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $10.29 | 966 | $9,935.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.85 | 966 | $9,512.69 | $9,520.72 |
$-422.63 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $9.68 | 984 | $9,520.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.16 | 984 | $9,012.75 | $9,013.27 |
$-507.45 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $7.39 | 1,218 | $9,007.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $7.06 | 1,218 | $8,600.66 | $8,606.83 |
$-406.45 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $8.31 | 1,036 | $8,603.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.82 | 1,036 | $8,106.70 | $8,109.54 |
$-497.28 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.55 | 948 | $8,105.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $8.20 | 948 | $7,773.60 | $7,777.74 |
$-331.80 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $8.79 | 884 | $7,770.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.40 | 884 | $7,424.45 | $7,431.83 |
$-345.91 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.15 | 912 | $7,428.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $8.81 | 912 | $8,030.16 | $8,033.75 |
+$601.92 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.50 | 945 | $8,032.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.23 | 945 | $8,717.63 | $8,718.88 |
+$685.13 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $9.52 | 916 | $8,715.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $9.10 | 916 | $8,340.18 | $8,343.32 |
$-375.56 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $8.82 | 946 | $8,341.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $8.46 | 946 | $8,003.07 | $8,005.03 |
$-338.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.57 | 836 | $8,004.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.35 | 836 | $8,652.52 | $8,652.85 |
+$647.82 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.37 | 834 | $8,648.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.24 | 834 | $9,378.33 | $9,382.52 |
+$729.67 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,382.52
Net Profit/Loss:
$-617.48
Total Return:
-6.17%