Compendium › Victor Volume › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 23 trades in period

-26.29%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,607.10
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$8,963.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,993
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,963.85
Current Value
$6,607.10
Period P&L
$-2,356.81
Max Drawdown
-56.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
7 / 16
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-6.21%
Avg Trade Return
-1.15%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$314,924.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,356.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,356.81
Gross Return
-26.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,963.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET $7.24 1,231 $8,906.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $6.92 1,231 $8,516.80 $8,519.02 $-389.49
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:05am ET $7.04 1,210 $8,512.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:00pm ET $6.73 1,210 $8,143.30 $8,149.97 $-369.05
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:40pm ET $6.63 1,229 $8,148.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET $6.34 1,229 $7,794.32 $7,796.02 $-353.95
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:05pm ET $6.20 1,258 $7,793.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:35am ET $5.92 1,258 $7,441.07 $7,443.78 $-352.24
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $5.80 1,284 $7,440.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $5.55 1,284 $7,131.98 $7,134.98 $-308.80
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $5.62 1,269 $7,131.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:35am ET $5.39 1,269 $6,833.57 $6,836.77 $-298.22
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:30pm ET $5.50 1,243 $6,833.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET $5.27 1,243 $6,550.61 $6,553.61 $-283.16
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:15pm ET $5.10 1,285 $6,553.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $4.88 1,285 $6,270.80 $6,270.91 $-282.70
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 12:40pm ET $4.97 1,261 $6,269.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $5.00 1,261 $6,298.70 $6,300.17 +$29.26
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $5.25 1,200 $6,297.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET $5.72 1,200 $6,863.76 $6,866.93 +$566.76
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:35pm ET $5.09 1,349 $6,866.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $4.88 1,349 $6,583.12 $6,583.64 $-283.29
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.76 1,383 $6,579.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.57 1,383 $6,313.40 $6,317.27 $-266.37
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $4.63 1,364 $6,315.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $4.42 1,364 $6,028.88 $6,030.83 $-286.44
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET $4.47 1,347 $6,027.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET $4.87 1,347 $6,559.89 $6,562.89 +$532.06
(+8.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $5.07 1,293 $6,561.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,293 $6,154.29 $6,155.21 $-407.68
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $4.95 1,244 $6,151.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.95 1,244 $6,164.02 $6,167.65 +$12.44
(+0.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.88 1,263 $6,163.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET $5.32 1,263 $6,725.47 $6,729.68 +$562.03
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.88 1,379 $6,729.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $4.66 1,379 $6,433.03 $6,433.33 $-296.35
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.79 1,343 $6,432.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.18 1,343 $6,957.68 $6,958.31 +$524.98
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $5.78 1,203 $6,953.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $5.53 1,203 $6,658.60 $6,663.57 $-294.74
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $5.79 1,150 $6,658.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET $5.55 1,150 $6,380.31 $6,385.50 $-278.07
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $6.07 1,051 $6,384.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $6.57 1,051 $6,905.07 $6,905.75 +$520.25
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.36 1,086 $6,901.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $6.08 1,086 $6,602.88 $6,607.10 $-298.65
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,607.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,392.90
Total Return: -33.93%
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