Compendium › Victor Volume › RIVN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIVN
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 26 trades in period

-32.30%
Last 6 Months Return
$2,389.69
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$3,529.76
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:21:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,161
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,529.76
Current Value
$2,389.69
Period P&L
$-1,140.08
Max Drawdown
-78.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
6 / 20
Best Trade
+9.44%
Worst Trade
-7.27%
Avg Trade Return
-1.35%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$150,595.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,140.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,140.08
Gross Return
-32.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-32.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $3,529.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 12:30pm ET $14.70 240 $3,528.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET $15.94 240 $3,824.40 $3,826.16 +$296.40
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 2:10pm ET $17.54 218 $3,822.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET $16.80 218 $3,661.33 $3,664.86 $-161.30
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 3:50pm ET $14.85 246 $3,651.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $14.22 246 $3,496.91 $3,509.88 $-154.98
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $14.95 234 $3,497.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $16.18 234 $3,784.95 $3,797.70 +$287.82
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:55am ET $17.40 218 $3,793.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET $16.69 218 $3,638.42 $3,642.36 $-155.35
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:45am ET $18.48 197 $3,639.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:15pm ET $17.74 197 $3,493.80 $3,496.58 $-145.78
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 2:55pm ET $17.95 194 $3,481.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $19.43 194 $3,768.45 $3,783.70 +$287.12
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $22.54 167 $3,764.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $21.46 167 $3,583.82 $3,603.34 $-180.36
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $21.15 170 $3,594.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $20.23 170 $3,439.10 $3,447.79 $-155.55
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $19.99 172 $3,437.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $19.17 172 $3,297.24 $3,307.61 $-140.18
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $19.74 167 $3,296.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $18.89 167 $3,154.63 $3,165.66 $-141.95
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $20.05 157 $3,147.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $19.24 157 $3,019.90 $3,038.49 $-127.17
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $19.18 158 $3,029.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.88 158 $2,824.25 $2,833.09 $-205.40
(-6.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $17.20 164 $2,819.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $15.95 164 $2,614.98 $2,628.09 $-205.00
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $16.34 160 $2,613.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $15.68 160 $2,508.80 $2,523.29 $-104.80
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $15.24 165 $2,514.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $14.63 165 $2,413.13 $2,421.81 $-101.48
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $14.70 164 $2,410.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $14.10 164 $2,312.40 $2,323.39 $-98.42
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $14.49 160 $2,318.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $13.89 160 $2,222.40 $2,227.39 $-96.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $14.96 148 $2,214.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $14.35 148 $2,124.54 $2,137.35 $-90.04
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $15.45 138 $2,132.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $15.32 138 $2,114.17 $2,118.73 $-18.62
(-0.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $15.52 136 $2,110.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET $14.88 136 $2,023.68 $2,031.69 $-87.04
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $14.68 138 $2,025.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $15.89 138 $2,192.17 $2,198.04 +$166.35
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $16.80 130 $2,183.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $16.11 130 $2,094.95 $2,109.00 $-89.04
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $14.88 141 $2,097.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.07 141 $2,265.17 $2,276.79 +$167.79
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $15.62 145 $2,264.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET $17.09 145 $2,478.77 $2,490.66 +$213.87
(+9.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $15.57 159 $2,476.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $14.94 159 $2,375.46 $2,389.69 $-100.97
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,389.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,610.31
Total Return: -76.10%
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