Compendium › Victor Volume › SMCI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SMCI
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 16 trades in period

+0.67%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,953.57
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,894.20
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:16:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,239
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,894.20
Current Value
$8,953.57
Period P&L
$59.42
Max Drawdown
-70.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+15.14%
Worst Trade
-5.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$250,706.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$59.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$59.42
Gross Return
+0.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,894.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:50pm ET $40.46 219 $8,859.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:40am ET $38.76 219 $8,488.46 $8,522.98 $-371.18
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:45pm ET $38.97 218 $8,495.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $37.14 218 $8,096.52 $8,124.04 $-398.94
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $36.37 223 $8,110.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $34.85 223 $7,771.55 $7,785.08 $-338.96
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:55pm ET $35.12 221 $7,760.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:15pm ET $33.68 221 $7,442.18 $7,466.84 $-318.24
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 1:55pm ET $32.16 232 $7,461.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $34.74 232 $8,059.91 $8,065.63 +$598.79
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $35.38 227 $8,031.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $33.74 227 $7,659.00 $7,693.37 $-372.26
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $34.42 223 $7,675.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $32.86 223 $7,327.76 $7,345.47 $-347.90
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $31.54 232 $7,316.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET $30.27 232 $7,022.64 $7,051.99 $-293.48
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:45pm ET $29.43 239 $7,033.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $31.85 239 $7,612.15 $7,630.47 +$578.48
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $29.96 254 $7,608.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $28.56 254 $7,252.97 $7,274.87 $-355.60
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.28 257 $7,266.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $30.67 257 $7,880.91 $7,889.10 +$614.23
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $31.33 251 $7,863.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $30.02 251 $7,535.02 $7,560.29 $-328.81
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $32.15 235 $7,555.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $30.48 235 $7,162.80 $7,167.84 $-392.45
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.15 245 $7,140.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $33.56 245 $8,222.20 $8,249.27 +$1,081.43
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $30.85 267 $8,236.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET $33.34 267 $8,901.81 $8,914.12 +$664.86
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $33.87 263 $8,907.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $34.02 263 $8,947.26 $8,953.57 +$39.45
(+0.4%) 		📅 Sim Ended
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,953.57
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,046.43
Total Return: -10.46%
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