Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:13:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 26.1/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,170
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,933.85
Current Value
$15,741.22
Period P&L
$-1,192.65
Max Drawdown
-41.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+8.69%
Worst Trade
-5.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.85%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$248,885.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,192.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,192.65
Gross Return
-7.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $16,933.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET $485.49 35 $16,992.04
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $463.85 35 $16,234.71 $16,266.38 $-757.33
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:30pm ET $455.63 35 $15,947.05
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $436.86 35 $15,290.10 $15,609.43 $-656.95
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $432.95 36 $15,586.20
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $430.91 36 $15,512.76 $15,535.99 $-73.44
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $427.24 36 $15,380.46
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $409.39 36 $14,738.04 $14,893.57 $-642.42
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.10 37 $14,692.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $424.73 37 $15,714.83 $15,915.70 +$1,022.13
(+7.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $412.17 38 $15,662.65
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $390.92 38 $14,854.96 $15,108.01 $-807.69
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $369.20 40 $14,768.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $401.28 40 $16,051.20 $16,391.21 +$1,283.20
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $422.49 38 $16,054.81
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET $405.39 38 $15,404.82 $15,741.22 $-649.99
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,741.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,741.22
Total Return: +57.41%
Back to Victor Volume