Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 18.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,675
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,997.62
Current Value
$12,354.58
Period P&L
$356.91
Max Drawdown
-42.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+11.92%
Worst Trade
-6.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$389,382.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$356.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$356.91
Gross Return
+2.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,997.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:45pm ET $35.04 342 $11,983.68
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $33.16 342 $11,340.75 $11,354.74 $-642.93
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:05pm ET $32.75 346 $11,331.50
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:10pm ET $35.41 346 $12,251.86 $12,275.10 +$920.36
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $34.78 352 $12,242.56
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $37.67 352 $13,259.84 $13,292.38 +$1,017.28
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:45pm ET $36.78 361 $13,277.58
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $34.35 361 $12,400.35 $12,415.15 $-877.23
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $37.50 331 $12,412.50
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $35.98 331 $11,909.61 $11,912.26 $-502.89
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $35.24 338 $11,911.12
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET $33.82 338 $11,431.13 $11,432.27 $-479.99
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:35pm ET $32.74 349 $11,426.26
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:00am ET $31.41 349 $10,962.09 $10,968.10 $-464.17
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $31.35 349 $10,941.15
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:00pm ET $30.03 349 $10,480.47 $10,507.42 $-460.68
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $29.49 356 $10,498.44
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:55am ET $28.25 356 $10,057.00 $10,065.98 $-441.44
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $26.99 372 $10,040.28
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.91 372 $9,638.52 $9,664.22 $-401.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.13 369 $9,641.71
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $28.26 369 $10,427.94 $10,450.45 +$786.23
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $26.13 400 $10,450.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.41 400 $11,364.00 $11,364.45 +$914.00
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.45 414 $11,364.30
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:15am ET $26.31 414 $10,890.27 $10,890.42 $-474.03
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $27.45 396 $10,870.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $29.73 396 $11,773.08 $11,793.30 +$902.88
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.39 430 $11,777.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $26.71 430 $11,485.30 $11,500.90 $-292.40
(-2.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $27.34 420 $11,482.80
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.60 420 $12,852.00 $12,870.10 +$1,369.20
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $29.57 435 $12,860.78
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.38 435 $12,345.26 $12,354.58 $-515.52
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,354.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,354.58
Total Return: +23.55%
Back to Victor Volume