Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,501
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,405.70
Current Value
$13,708.29
Period P&L
$302.63
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+8.02%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
11.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$243,420.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$302.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$302.63
Gross Return
+2.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,405.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:00pm ET $152.23 90 $13,700.25
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $146.00 90 $13,140.00 $13,275.16 $-560.25
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $143.63 92 $13,213.73
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $137.68 92 $12,666.10 $12,727.53 $-547.63
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET $137.98 92 $12,694.16
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $149.05 92 $13,712.60 $13,745.97 +$1,018.44
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $147.85 92 $13,602.20
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET $141.64 92 $13,030.88 $13,174.65 $-571.32
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $139.89 94 $13,149.66
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $147.13 94 $13,830.22 $13,855.21 +$680.56
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $143.80 96 $13,804.80
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $145.69 96 $13,986.24 $14,036.65 +$181.44
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.90 97 $13,958.30
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET $138.13 97 $13,398.61 $13,476.96 $-559.69
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $135.40 99 $13,404.11
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $143.57 99 $14,213.43 $14,286.29 +$809.33
(+6.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $142.46 100 $14,246.50
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $136.68 100 $13,668.50 $13,708.29 $-578.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,708.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,708.29
Total Return: +37.08%
Back to Victor Volume