Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:31:54

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-33.8%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,729
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
184 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,919.45
Current Value
$1,965.17
Period P&L
$-3,364.47
Max Drawdown
-83.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
13 / 40
Best Trade
+8.57%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-1.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$363,849.46
Estimated Fees
$909.62
Gross P&L
$-3,364.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,274.10
Gross Return
-68.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-86.88%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 184 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $4,919.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 7:50pm ET $1.79 2,584 $4,623.38
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2025 3:35am ET $1.94 2,584 $5,008.96 $4,984.88 +$361.50
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2025 4:20am ET $1.94 2,572 $4,984.88
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:05pm ET $1.86 2,572 $4,781.22 $4,756.80 $-228.08
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45am ET $1.85 2,578 $4,756.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $1.99 2,578 $5,141.69 $5,116.94 +$360.14
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 4:30pm ET $2.00 2,559 $5,116.94
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET $2.16 2,559 $5,529.23 $5,502.62 +$385.68
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET $2.17 2,532 $5,502.62
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 6:10pm ET $2.35 2,532 $5,951.80 $5,923.17 +$420.55
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 7:00pm ET $2.36 2,513 $5,923.17
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $2.24 2,513 $5,616.68 $5,587.83 $-335.34
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $2.26 2,468 $5,587.83
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $2.17 2,468 $5,358.07 $5,330.70 $-257.13
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 6:05pm ET $2.16 2,470 $5,330.70
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $2.07 2,470 $5,103.43 $5,077.35 $-253.35
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $2.08 2,442 $5,077.35
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 6:45pm ET $1.99 2,442 $4,863.68 $4,838.83 $-238.52
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.4d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 10:25pm ET $1.96 2,475 $4,838.83
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 5:30pm ET $1.87 2,475 $4,624.36 $4,600.70 $-238.12
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.90 2,424 $4,600.70
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $1.81 2,424 $4,398.54 $4,376.05 $-224.66
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $1.82 2,400 $4,376.05
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $1.74 2,400 $4,181.75 $4,160.36 $-215.69
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 8:50pm ET $1.74 2,386 $4,160.36
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 8:35am ET $1.67 2,386 $3,991.67 $3,971.29 $-189.07
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 11:15am ET $1.63 2,430 $3,971.29
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.56 2,430 $3,788.56 $3,769.16 $-202.13
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $1.58 2,385 $3,769.16
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $1.51 2,385 $3,608.65 $3,590.21 $-178.95
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 8:25pm ET $1.48 2,420 $3,590.21
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:15am ET $1.42 2,420 $3,442.35 $3,424.77 $-165.44
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 5:55am ET $1.36 2,510 $3,424.77
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $1.30 2,510 $3,257.38 $3,240.68 $-184.09
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $1.29 2,508 $3,240.68
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.24 2,508 $3,100.57 $3,084.72 $-155.96
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.27 2,438 $3,084.72
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $1.21 2,438 $2,952.60 $2,937.51 $-147.21
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET $1.15 2,558 $2,937.51
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:25pm ET $1.24 2,558 $3,177.62 $3,162.33 +$224.82
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:05am ET $1.30 2,440 $3,162.33
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:10am ET $1.41 2,440 $3,433.22 $3,416.73 +$254.40
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 8:35am ET $1.43 2,392 $3,416.73
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $1.42 2,392 $3,398.50 $3,381.46 $-35.28
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.49 2,274 $3,381.46
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.42 2,274 $3,237.29 $3,237.29 $-160.72
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 6:30pm ET $1.41 2,293 $3,237.29
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $1.35 2,293 $3,097.04 $3,097.04 $-156.09
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:10am ET $1.35 2,291 $3,097.04
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.46 2,291 $3,346.11 $3,346.11 +$232.96
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 4:35pm ET $1.48 2,259 $3,346.11
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:10pm ET $1.42 2,259 $3,209.99 $3,209.99 $-152.51
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 4:35pm ET $1.48 2,259 $3,346.11
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $1.42 2,259 $3,207.91 $3,071.79 $-154.59
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:05am ET $1.42 2,163 $3,071.79
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET $1.36 2,163 $2,947.24 $2,947.24 $-139.59
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 4:05pm ET $1.36 2,174 $2,947.24
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET $1.30 2,174 $2,819.68 $2,819.68 $-141.98
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET $1.35 2,091 $2,819.68
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:55am ET $1.46 2,091 $3,048.33 $3,048.33 +$213.98
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $1.45 2,097 $3,048.33
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:35am ET $1.39 2,097 $2,923.47 $2,923.47 $-139.79
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:55am ET $1.40 2,090 $2,923.47
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $1.34 2,090 $2,801.69 $2,801.69 $-136.08
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $1.34 2,090 $2,801.69
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:10am ET $1.45 2,090 $3,026.67 $3,026.67 +$210.41
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 4:10pm ET $1.40 2,159 $3,026.67
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:15am ET $1.51 2,159 $3,270.57 $3,270.57 +$228.16
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $1.52 2,156 $3,270.57
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:25am ET $1.45 2,156 $3,135.59 $3,135.59 $-150.99
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $1.45 2,097 $3,048.33
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:30am ET $1.40 2,097 $2,926.17 $3,013.43 $-137.10
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6d held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $1.39 2,174 $3,013.43
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 8:20am ET $1.33 2,174 $2,891.53 $2,891.53 $-136.67
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $1.33 2,168 $2,891.53
🔴 SELL Apr 5, 2026 8:50am ET $1.28 2,168 $2,773.82 $2,773.82 $-131.87
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.30 2,133 $2,773.82
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:40pm ET $1.40 2,133 $2,997.30 $2,997.30 +$209.05
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.4d held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:45pm ET $1.41 2,128 $2,997.30
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $1.35 2,128 $2,875.08 $2,875.08 $-136.90
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.6d held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $1.37 2,093 $2,875.08
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.49 2,093 $3,111.66 $3,111.66 +$221.61
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
42 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:45am ET $1.45 2,140 $3,111.66
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $1.39 2,140 $2,969.45 $2,969.45 $-157.41
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
43 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 7:25am ET $1.38 2,149 $2,969.45
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 3:50am ET $1.30 2,149 $2,802.04 $2,802.04 $-181.84
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
44 🟢 BUY May 24, 2026 3:00am ET $1.36 2,058 $2,802.04
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 7:20pm ET $1.31 2,058 $2,689.20 $2,689.20 $-126.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
45 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.30 2,064 $2,689.20
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1.24 2,064 $2,565.18 $2,565.18 $-137.16
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6d held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $1.22 2,102 $2,565.18
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET $1.17 2,102 $2,461.68 $2,461.68 $-116.07
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $1.15 2,133 $2,461.68
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $1.10 2,133 $2,341.59 $2,341.59 $-132.10
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 5:00am ET $1.13 2,075 $2,341.59
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $1.08 2,075 $2,243.34 $2,243.34 $-109.72
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $1.15 2,133 $2,461.68
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET $1.07 2,133 $2,276.84 $2,058.50 $-196.69
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 7:15am ET $1.15 1,784 $2,058.50
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:35am ET $1.11 1,784 $1,974.95 $1,974.95 $-93.63
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 8:30am ET $1.12 1,770 $1,974.95
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 7:10am ET $1.21 1,770 $2,136.49 $2,136.49 +$151.26
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:25am ET $1.26 1,694 $2,136.49
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $1.21 1,694 $2,049.75 $2,049.75 $-97.21
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 7:25pm ET $1.22 1,685 $2,049.75
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:50am ET $1.17 1,685 $1,965.17 $1,965.17 $-94.62
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,965.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,034.83
Total Return: -80.35%
Back to Victor Volume