SPY Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 38 trades executed
+14.98%
2 Years Return
$12,411.91
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,794.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
10.7/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality
37.3/100
× Confidence 0.58
= 21.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
87,334
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,794.75
Current Value
$12,411.91
Total P&L
$1,617.18
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
22 /
11
Best Trade
+8.15%
Worst Trade
-6.69%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
18.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$730,602.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,617.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,617.18
Gross Return
+14.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.98%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,794.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2024 1:25pm ET | $500.04 | 21 | $10,500.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2024 1:25pm ET | $520.87 | 21 | $10,938.20 | $10,982.61 |
+$437.36 (+4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2024 1:50pm ET | $521.29 | 21 | $10,947.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2024 1:50pm ET | $526.95 | 21 | $11,065.95 | $11,101.49 |
+$118.88 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2024 3:50pm ET | $534.40 | 20 | $10,688.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2024 3:50pm ET | $545.56 | 20 | $10,911.20 | $11,324.65 |
+$223.16 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $546.35 | 20 | $10,927.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2024 3:55pm ET | $552.66 | 20 | $11,053.20 | $11,450.85 |
+$126.20 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 19, 2024 3:55pm ET | $548.93 | 20 | $10,978.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $512.23 | 20 | $10,244.60 | $10,716.85 |
$-734.00 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 1:50pm ET | $528.11 | 20 | $10,562.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2024 1:50pm ET | $561.97 | 20 | $11,239.40 | $11,394.05 |
+$677.20 (+6.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2024 2:05pm ET | $556.11 | 20 | $11,122.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2024 2:05pm ET | $565.40 | 20 | $11,308.00 | $11,579.85 |
+$185.80 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2024 3:45pm ET | $571.61 | 20 | $11,432.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2024 3:45pm ET | $575.85 | 20 | $11,517.00 | $11,664.65 |
+$84.80 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2024 3:45pm ET | $579.95 | 20 | $11,599.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 1, 2024 3:45pm ET | $571.40 | 20 | $11,427.90 | $11,493.55 |
$-171.10 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2024 3:45pm ET | $575.72 | 19 | $10,938.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 3:45pm ET | $601.15 | 19 | $11,421.85 | $11,976.72 |
+$483.17 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $598.79 | 20 | $11,975.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:55pm ET | $586.30 | 20 | $11,726.00 | $11,726.92 |
$-249.80 (-2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $582.32 | 20 | $11,646.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $585.18 | 20 | $11,703.60 | $11,784.12 |
+$57.20 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $576.45 | 20 | $11,529.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $593.50 | 20 | $11,870.00 | $12,125.12 |
+$341.00 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $601.93 | 20 | $12,038.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $593.71 | 20 | $11,874.20 | $11,960.72 |
$-164.40 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 2:35pm ET | $589.48 | 20 | $11,789.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $565.90 | 20 | $11,318.00 | $11,489.12 |
$-471.60 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 2:45pm ET | $561.26 | 20 | $11,225.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 2:45pm ET | $556.47 | 20 | $11,129.30 | $11,393.22 |
$-95.90 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 3:30pm ET | $564.14 | 20 | $11,282.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $540.91 | 20 | $10,818.20 | $10,928.62 |
$-464.60 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $513.78 | 21 | $10,789.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $491.48 | 21 | $10,321.08 | $10,460.32 |
$-468.30 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $544.09 | 19 | $10,337.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $522.07 | 19 | $9,919.33 | $10,041.94 |
$-418.38 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 1:40pm ET | $535.40 | 18 | $9,637.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $513.81 | 18 | $9,248.58 | $9,653.32 |
$-388.62 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 11:55am ET | $526.17 | 18 | $9,471.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $569.04 | 18 | $10,242.72 | $10,424.98 |
+$771.66 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $564.06 | 18 | $10,153.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 1:20pm ET | $585.69 | 18 | $10,542.42 | $10,814.40 |
+$389.42 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 2:00pm ET | $590.00 | 18 | $10,620.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 2:00pm ET | $598.84 | 18 | $10,779.13 | $10,973.53 |
+$159.13 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 3:05pm ET | $607.55 | 18 | $10,935.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 3:05pm ET | $623.47 | 18 | $11,222.37 | $11,260.09 |
+$286.56 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 3:45pm ET | $628.22 | 17 | $10,679.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 3:45pm ET | $631.27 | 17 | $10,731.59 | $11,311.98 |
+$51.88 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $637.04 | 17 | $10,829.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $643.87 | 17 | $10,945.79 | $11,428.09 |
+$116.11 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 3:50pm ET | $640.16 | 17 | $10,882.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $663.40 | 17 | $11,277.72 | $11,823.17 |
+$395.08 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $661.14 | 17 | $11,239.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:50pm ET | $663.54 | 17 | $11,280.18 | $11,863.97 |
+$40.80 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 3:50pm ET | $660.85 | 17 | $11,234.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 2:50pm ET | $672.56 | 17 | $11,433.52 | $12,063.04 |
+$199.07 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $670.93 | 17 | $11,405.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $679.67 | 17 | $11,554.39 | $12,211.62 |
+$148.58 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 3:25pm ET | $684.52 | 17 | $11,636.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $690.95 | 17 | $11,746.07 | $12,320.79 |
+$109.18 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $688.06 | 17 | $11,697.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $682.65 | 17 | $11,605.05 | $12,228.82 |
$-91.97 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $684.40 | 17 | $11,634.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $695.17 | 17 | $11,817.89 | $12,411.91 |
+$183.09 (+1.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
19.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,411.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,411.91
Total Return:
+24.12%