Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 32.9/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,756
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,347.90
Current Value
$13,966.14
Period P&L
$1,618.22
Max Drawdown
-24.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+8.00%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+2.53%
Avg Hold Time
14.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,550.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,618.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,618.22
Gross Return
+13.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,347.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:25am ET $77.58 160 $12,412.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:20am ET $74.36 160 $11,897.60 $11,906.32 $-515.20
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.94 161 $11,904.34
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.43 161 $12,626.43 $12,628.40 +$722.09
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $80.56 156 $12,566.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.00 156 $13,572.00 $13,633.81 +$1,005.40
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $78.48 173 $13,577.66
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:35am ET $75.32 173 $13,030.36 $13,086.51 $-547.30
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $84.14 155 $13,041.70
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $89.82 155 $13,921.33 $13,966.14 +$879.63
(+6.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,966.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,966.14
Total Return: +39.66%
Back to Victor Volume