Compendium › Victor Volume › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+10.12%
Year to Date Return
$13,602.33
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,351.83
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:40:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 36.5/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 30.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,306
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,351.83
Current Value
$13,602.33
Period P&L
$1,250.49
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+8.05%
Worst Trade
-4.06%
Avg Trade Return
+2.21%
Avg Hold Time
12.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$107,107.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,250.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,250.49
Gross Return
+10.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,351.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $349.52 35 $12,233.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $377.67 35 $13,218.45 $13,513.49 +$985.25
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $375.80 35 $13,153.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $386.83 35 $13,539.22 $13,899.71 +$386.22
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $382.35 36 $13,764.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $389.74 36 $14,030.82 $14,165.93 +$266.22
(+1.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $346.65 40 $13,866.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $332.56 40 $13,302.40 $13,602.33 $-563.60
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,602.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,602.33
Total Return: +36.02%
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