Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,243
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,100.08
Current Value
$7,878.31
Period P&L
$-221.78
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-4.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
20.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,537.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-221.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-221.78
Gross Return
-2.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,100.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $305.64 26 $7,946.64
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.61 26 $7,945.86 $8,078.25 $-0.78
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $309.28 26 $8,041.15
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $325.30 26 $8,457.93 $8,495.03 +$416.78
(+5.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
17.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $325.70 26 $8,468.33
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $328.18 26 $8,532.68 $8,559.38 +$64.35
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $324.79 26 $8,444.54
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $311.42 26 $8,097.05 $8,211.89 $-347.49
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $325.70 26 $8,468.33
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $312.88 26 $8,134.75 $7,878.31 $-333.58
(-3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
33.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,878.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,121.69
Total Return: -21.22%
Back to Victor Volume