Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
17.4/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
5.9/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 61.6/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 50.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,209
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$20,432.64
Current Value
$22,167.04
Period P&L
$1,734.39
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+8.30%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
+1.48%
Avg Hold Time
12.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,719.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,734.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,734.39
Gross Return
+8.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $20,432.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:10pm ET $180.20 115 $20,723.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 115 $21,218.66 $21,228.46 +$495.66
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $183.27 115 $21,076.05
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $174.99 115 $20,123.85 $20,276.26 $-952.20
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $183.49 110 $20,183.35
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $175.25 110 $19,277.50 $19,370.41 $-905.85
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $158.26 122 $19,307.72
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET $167.34 122 $20,414.87 $20,477.56 +$1,107.15
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $178.53 114 $20,352.42
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $193.35 114 $22,041.90 $22,167.04 +$1,689.48
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,167.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,167.04
Total Return: +121.67%
Back to Victor Volume