Compendium › Victor Volume › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 7 trades in period

-16.35%
Year to Date Return
$10,088.17
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$12,059.32
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.3/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 6.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,434
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,059.32
Current Value
$10,088.17
Period P&L
$-1,971.15
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+4.59%
Worst Trade
-5.45%
Avg Trade Return
-2.30%
Avg Hold Time
10.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$147,414.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,971.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,971.15
Gross Return
-16.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,059.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 2:35pm ET $475.72 24 $11,417.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $476.52 24 $11,436.48 $11,888.19 +$19.20
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $477.66 24 $11,463.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $458.24 24 $10,997.76 $11,422.23 $-465.96
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $456.91 24 $10,965.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $432.00 24 $10,368.00 $10,824.39 $-597.84
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $427.26 25 $10,681.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $409.96 25 $10,249.12 $10,392.01 $-432.38
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.22 25 $10,355.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $397.48 25 $9,936.91 $9,973.43 $-418.59
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.74 24 $9,641.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $420.18 24 $10,084.32 $10,415.99 +$442.56
(+4.6%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $402.87 25 $10,071.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:35am ET $389.76 25 $9,744.00 $10,088.17 $-327.82
(-3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,088.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$88.17
Total Return: +0.88%
Back to Victor Volume