Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,229
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,880.35
Current Value
$6,607.10
Period P&L
$-273.32
Max Drawdown
-56.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-6.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$169,193.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-273.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-273.32
Gross Return
-3.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,880.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:35pm ET $5.09 1,349 $6,866.41
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $4.88 1,349 $6,583.12 $6,583.64 $-283.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.76 1,383 $6,579.76
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.57 1,383 $6,313.40 $6,317.27 $-266.37
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $4.63 1,364 $6,315.32
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $4.42 1,364 $6,028.88 $6,030.83 $-286.44
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET $4.47 1,347 $6,027.82
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET $4.87 1,347 $6,559.89 $6,562.89 +$532.06
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $5.07 1,293 $6,561.97
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,293 $6,154.29 $6,155.21 $-407.68
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $4.95 1,244 $6,151.58
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.95 1,244 $6,164.02 $6,167.65 +$12.44
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.88 1,263 $6,163.44
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET $5.32 1,263 $6,725.47 $6,729.68 +$562.03
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.88 1,379 $6,729.38
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $4.66 1,379 $6,433.03 $6,433.33 $-296.35
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.79 1,343 $6,432.70
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.18 1,343 $6,957.68 $6,958.31 +$524.98
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $5.78 1,203 $6,953.34
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $5.53 1,203 $6,658.60 $6,663.57 $-294.74
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $5.79 1,150 $6,658.38
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET $5.55 1,150 $6,380.31 $6,385.50 $-278.07
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $6.07 1,051 $6,384.82
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $6.57 1,051 $6,905.07 $6,905.75 +$520.25
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.36 1,086 $6,901.53
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $6.08 1,086 $6,602.88 $6,607.10 $-298.65
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,607.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,392.90
Total Return: -33.93%
Back to Victor Volume