SOLUSD Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
-43.76%
Year to Date Return
$556.05
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$859.93
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.4
30-Day Momentum
29
+11.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.5
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,164
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$859.93
Current Value
$556.05
Period P&L
$-376.29
Max Drawdown
-95.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
13 /
30
Best Trade
+8.81%
Worst Trade
-5.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$53,268.46
Estimated Fees
$133.17
Gross P&L
$-376.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-509.46
Gross Return
-43.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-59.24%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $859.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 2:05am ET | $127.53 | 7 | $879.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $137.86 | 7 | $951.08 | $946.51 |
+$66.69 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $138.53 | 7 | $946.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 19, 2026 1:15am ET | $132.96 | 7 | $908.45 | $903.81 |
$-42.69 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 19, 2026 2:35am ET | $133.48 | 7 | $903.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:15am ET | $128.14 | 7 | $867.66 | $863.23 |
$-40.59 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:20am ET | $128.59 | 7 | $863.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $122.85 | 7 | $824.69 | $820.47 |
$-42.75 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 6:00pm ET | $118.60 | 7 | $820.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $113.60 | 7 | $785.88 | $781.87 |
$-38.61 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET | $113.99 | 7 | $781.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.24 | 7 | $749.29 | $745.46 |
$-36.41 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $108.92 | 7 | $745.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $102.64 | 7 | $702.48 | $698.86 |
$-46.60 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 1:45pm ET | $101.77 | 7 | $698.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:20pm ET | $97.34 | 7 | $668.44 | $665.02 |
$-33.84 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:40am ET | $100.57 | 7 | $665.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 6:00am ET | $95.93 | 7 | $634.34 | $631.09 |
$-33.93 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 8:50am ET | $94.66 | 7 | $631.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $90.84 | 7 | $605.62 | $602.53 |
$-28.56 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $90.88 | 7 | $602.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $87.18 | 7 | $578.03 | $575.07 |
$-27.46 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $85.08 | 7 | $575.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $81.51 | 7 | $550.94 | $548.13 |
$-26.95 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 4:00pm ET | $80.59 | 7 | $548.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $76.32 | 7 | $519.09 | $516.42 |
$-31.71 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET | $71.04 | 7 | $516.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET | $76.90 | 7 | $559.01 | $556.32 |
+$39.90 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:25pm ET | $77.37 | 7 | $556.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:45am ET | $83.68 | 7 | $601.70 | $598.80 |
+$42.48 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.71 | 7 | $598.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $84.56 | 7 | $604.87 | $601.86 |
+$3.06 (+1.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 7:05pm ET | $83.15 | 7 | $601.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $79.66 | 7 | $576.56 | $576.56 |
$-28.24 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:20am ET | $86.44 | 7 | $576.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 7:00am ET | $82.87 | 7 | $552.78 | $552.78 |
$-26.60 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $83.03 | 7 | $552.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $79.24 | 7 | $527.55 | $527.55 |
$-27.93 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:45am ET | $77.07 | 7 | $527.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 7:00am ET | $83.24 | 7 | $569.78 | $569.78 |
+$39.49 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 7:45am ET | $83.52 | 7 | $569.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 4:35pm ET | $90.88 | 7 | $619.99 | $619.99 |
+$47.24 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:10pm ET | $88.31 | 7 | $619.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $84.51 | 7 | $593.31 | $593.31 |
$-29.71 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 5:40pm ET | $86.10 | 7 | $593.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 8:35am ET | $82.42 | 7 | $567.95 | $567.95 |
$-28.26 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 5:35pm ET | $80.84 | 7 | $567.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET | $77.43 | 7 | $543.99 | $543.99 |
$-26.74 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $81.49 | 7 | $543.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $88.27 | 7 | $589.25 | $589.25 |
+$42.43 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 7:30am ET | $85.13 | 7 | $589.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $92.22 | 7 | $638.33 | $638.33 |
+$46.01 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $92.31 | 7 | $638.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $88.02 | 7 | $608.66 | $608.66 |
$-32.78 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $88.25 | 7 | $608.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $84.60 | 7 | $583.49 | $583.49 |
$-28.15 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $85.03 | 7 | $583.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.57 | 7 | $559.75 | $559.75 |
$-26.60 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $81.98 | 7 | $559.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $88.55 | 7 | $604.61 | $604.61 |
+$41.95 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $87.83 | 7 | $604.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.02 | 7 | $654.10 | $654.10 |
+$46.35 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $94.03 | 7 | $654.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $90.25 | 7 | $627.81 | $627.81 |
$-29.50 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $92.31 | 7 | $638.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 21, 2026 10:25pm ET | $87.69 | 7 | $606.38 | $595.86 |
$-35.06 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 22, 2026 4:25am ET | $87.29 | 7 | $595.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET | $83.37 | 7 | $569.10 | $569.10 |
$-29.67 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 12:55am ET | $82.78 | 7 | $569.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET | $79.46 | 7 | $546.28 | $546.28 |
$-25.61 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 4:45am ET | $84.52 | 6 | $546.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 5:55am ET | $80.63 | 6 | $521.14 | $521.14 |
$-27.81 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $82.14 | 6 | $521.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:15pm ET | $78.68 | 6 | $499.19 | $499.19 |
$-24.50 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $78.92 | 6 | $499.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 7:10pm ET | $85.53 | 6 | $541.00 | $541.00 |
+$39.21 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:05am ET | $84.90 | 6 | $541.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $81.43 | 6 | $518.89 | $518.89 |
$-24.76 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 7:00am ET | $81.87 | 6 | $518.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $88.58 | 6 | $561.42 | $561.42 |
+$39.83 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 8:00pm ET | $89.18 | 6 | $561.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 18, 2026 10:25pm ET | $85.38 | 6 | $537.50 | $537.50 |
$-26.67 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 19, 2026 1:30am ET | $85.70 | 6 | $537.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $81.95 | 6 | $513.98 | $513.98 |
$-26.15 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $81.73 | 6 | $513.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 4:45am ET | $88.42 | 6 | $556.05 | $556.05 |
+$39.40 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$556.05
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9,443.95
Total Return:
-94.44%