Compendium › Victor Volume › SOXL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOXL
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 13 trades in period

+28.61%
Year to Date Return
$15,625.10
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$12,149.16
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:33:26

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 24.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 22.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,328
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
116 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,149.16
Current Value
$15,625.10
Period P&L
$3,475.94
Max Drawdown
-75.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+12.24%
Worst Trade
-6.89%
Avg Trade Return
+2.61%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$364,649.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,475.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,475.94
Gross Return
+28.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 116 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,149.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:30am ET $42.32 273 $11,552.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.50 273 $12,966.44 $12,999.85 +$1,414.44
(+12.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $49.12 264 $12,967.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 264 $14,121.36 $14,153.53 +$1,153.68
(+8.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $51.60 274 $14,137.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 274 $13,539.71 $13,556.21 $-597.32
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $54.50 248 $13,514.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.78 248 $14,824.94 $14,866.24 +$1,310.04
(+9.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET $60.98 243 $14,818.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 243 $13,954.28 $14,002.38 $-863.87
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET $63.50 220 $13,970.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $60.83 220 $13,381.50 $13,413.88 $-588.50
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET $60.95 220 $13,408.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $65.93 220 $14,503.50 $14,508.40 +$1,094.52
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $68.48 211 $14,449.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $63.77 211 $13,454.42 $13,513.53 $-994.87
(-6.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $65.36 206 $13,463.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $61.43 206 $12,654.42 $12,704.82 $-808.72
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $51.49 246 $12,666.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 246 $14,143.77 $14,182.05 +$1,477.23
(+11.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $60.40 234 $14,133.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $64.51 234 $15,096.51 $15,144.96 +$962.91
(+6.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $261.57 57 $14,909.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET $282.77 57 $16,117.88 $16,353.35 +$1,208.39
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $223.48 73 $16,314.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $213.50 73 $15,585.79 $15,625.10 $-728.25
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,625.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,625.10
Total Return: +56.25%
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