XRPUSD Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
-44.62%
Year to Date Return
$2,875.08
Current Value
26%
Win Rate
$4,741.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 3.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,161
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$4,741.75
Current Value
$2,875.08
Period P&L
$-2,115.97
Max Drawdown
-83.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
10 /
28
Best Trade
+8.57%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.91%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$280,366.44
Estimated Fees
$700.92
Gross P&L
$-2,115.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,816.89
Gross Return
-44.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-59.41%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $4,741.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:45am ET | $1.85 | 2,578 | $4,756.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.99 | 2,578 | $5,141.69 | $5,116.94 |
+$360.14 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 4:30pm ET | $2.00 | 2,559 | $5,116.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.16 | 2,559 | $5,529.23 | $5,502.62 |
+$385.68 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $2.17 | 2,532 | $5,502.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 6:10pm ET | $2.35 | 2,532 | $5,951.80 | $5,923.17 |
+$420.55 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 7:00pm ET | $2.36 | 2,513 | $5,923.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $2.24 | 2,513 | $5,616.68 | $5,587.83 |
$-335.34 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $2.26 | 2,468 | $5,587.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $2.17 | 2,468 | $5,358.07 | $5,330.70 |
$-257.13 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 6:05pm ET | $2.16 | 2,470 | $5,330.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.07 | 2,470 | $5,103.43 | $5,077.35 |
$-253.35 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.08 | 2,442 | $5,077.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 6:45pm ET | $1.99 | 2,442 | $4,863.68 | $4,838.83 |
$-238.52 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 10:25pm ET | $1.96 | 2,475 | $4,838.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 5:30pm ET | $1.87 | 2,475 | $4,624.36 | $4,600.70 |
$-238.12 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 7:30pm ET | $1.90 | 2,424 | $4,600.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1.81 | 2,424 | $4,398.54 | $4,376.05 |
$-224.66 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.82 | 2,400 | $4,376.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $1.74 | 2,400 | $4,181.75 | $4,160.36 |
$-215.69 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:50pm ET | $1.74 | 2,386 | $4,160.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 8:35am ET | $1.67 | 2,386 | $3,991.67 | $3,971.29 |
$-189.07 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $1.63 | 2,430 | $3,971.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1.56 | 2,430 | $3,788.56 | $3,769.16 |
$-202.13 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.58 | 2,385 | $3,769.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.51 | 2,385 | $3,608.65 | $3,590.21 |
$-178.95 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 8:25pm ET | $1.48 | 2,420 | $3,590.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:15am ET | $1.42 | 2,420 | $3,442.35 | $3,424.77 |
$-165.44 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 5:55am ET | $1.36 | 2,510 | $3,424.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.30 | 2,510 | $3,257.38 | $3,240.68 |
$-184.09 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.29 | 2,508 | $3,240.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.24 | 2,508 | $3,100.57 | $3,084.72 |
$-155.96 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.27 | 2,438 | $3,084.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1.21 | 2,438 | $2,952.60 | $2,937.51 |
$-147.21 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET | $1.15 | 2,558 | $2,937.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 8:25pm ET | $1.24 | 2,558 | $3,177.62 | $3,162.33 |
+$224.82 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:05am ET | $1.30 | 2,440 | $3,162.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:10am ET | $1.41 | 2,440 | $3,433.22 | $3,416.73 |
+$254.40 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 8:35am ET | $1.43 | 2,392 | $3,416.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1.42 | 2,392 | $3,398.50 | $3,381.46 |
$-35.28 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.49 | 2,274 | $3,381.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1.42 | 2,274 | $3,237.29 | $3,237.29 |
$-160.72 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 6:30pm ET | $1.41 | 2,293 | $3,237.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $1.35 | 2,293 | $3,097.04 | $3,097.04 |
$-156.09 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:10am ET | $1.35 | 2,291 | $3,097.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.46 | 2,291 | $3,346.11 | $3,346.11 |
+$232.96 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 4:35pm ET | $1.48 | 2,259 | $3,346.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:10pm ET | $1.42 | 2,259 | $3,209.99 | $3,209.99 |
$-152.51 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 4:35pm ET | $1.48 | 2,259 | $3,346.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.42 | 2,259 | $3,207.91 | $3,071.79 |
$-154.59 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:05am ET | $1.42 | 2,163 | $3,071.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.36 | 2,163 | $2,947.24 | $2,947.24 |
$-139.59 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 4:05pm ET | $1.36 | 2,174 | $2,947.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET | $1.30 | 2,174 | $2,819.68 | $2,819.68 |
$-141.98 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $1.35 | 2,091 | $2,819.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.46 | 2,091 | $3,048.33 | $3,048.33 |
+$213.98 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.45 | 2,097 | $3,048.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:35am ET | $1.39 | 2,097 | $2,923.47 | $2,923.47 |
$-139.79 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:55am ET | $1.40 | 2,090 | $2,923.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1.34 | 2,090 | $2,801.69 | $2,801.69 |
$-136.08 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 8, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.34 | 2,090 | $2,801.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.45 | 2,090 | $3,026.67 | $3,026.67 |
+$210.41 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 4:10pm ET | $1.40 | 2,159 | $3,026.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $1.51 | 2,159 | $3,270.57 | $3,270.57 |
+$228.16 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1.52 | 2,156 | $3,270.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.45 | 2,156 | $3,135.59 | $3,135.59 |
$-150.99 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.45 | 2,097 | $3,048.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 22, 2026 4:30am ET | $1.40 | 2,097 | $2,926.17 | $3,013.43 |
$-137.10 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 22, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.39 | 2,174 | $3,013.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 8:20am ET | $1.33 | 2,174 | $2,891.53 | $2,891.53 |
$-136.67 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.33 | 2,168 | $2,891.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 5, 2026 8:50am ET | $1.28 | 2,168 | $2,773.82 | $2,773.82 |
$-131.87 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.30 | 2,133 | $2,773.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:40pm ET | $1.40 | 2,133 | $2,997.30 | $2,997.30 |
+$209.05 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.4d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:45pm ET | $1.41 | 2,128 | $2,997.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1.35 | 2,128 | $2,875.08 | $2,875.08 |
$-136.90 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,875.08
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,124.92
Total Return:
-71.25%