ADBE Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 60 trades executed
-27.10%
2 Years Return
$6,188.93
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,489.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
3.9/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 3.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
51,487
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$8,489.44
Current Value
$6,188.93
Total P&L
$-2,300.53
Max Drawdown
-40.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
52
Winners / Losers
20 /
32
Best Trade
+18.88%
Worst Trade
-11.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
11.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$839,829.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,300.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,300.53
Gross Return
-27.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.10%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,489.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2024 3:40pm ET | $466.75 | 17 | $7,934.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2024 3:40pm ET | $484.01 | 17 | $8,228.17 | $8,413.11 |
+$293.42 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2024 3:55pm ET | $475.79 | 17 | $8,088.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2024 9:40am ET | $456.27 | 17 | $7,756.59 | $8,081.27 |
$-331.84 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 31, 2024 3:45pm ET | $441.01 | 18 | $7,938.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $524.27 | 18 | $9,436.86 | $9,579.95 |
+$1,498.68 (+18.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 11:10am ET | $512.93 | 18 | $9,232.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 28, 2024 9:30am ET | $555.66 | 18 | $10,001.88 | $10,349.05 |
+$769.10 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $552.71 | 18 | $9,948.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2024 9:30am ET | $553.88 | 18 | $9,969.84 | $10,370.11 |
+$21.06 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2024 2:15pm ET | $549.04 | 18 | $9,882.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $524.52 | 18 | $9,441.27 | $9,928.66 |
$-441.45 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $504.59 | 19 | $9,587.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $550.35 | 19 | $10,456.65 | $10,798.10 |
+$869.44 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $552.83 | 19 | $10,503.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $570.38 | 19 | $10,837.22 | $11,131.55 |
+$333.45 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 2:15pm ET | $568.94 | 19 | $10,809.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $533.30 | 19 | $10,132.61 | $10,454.39 |
$-677.16 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2024 11:45am ET | $531.33 | 19 | $10,095.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2024 10:05am ET | $509.17 | 19 | $9,674.23 | $10,033.35 |
$-421.04 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2024 3:20pm ET | $525.38 | 19 | $9,982.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 11:10am ET | $504.10 | 19 | $9,577.90 | $9,629.12 |
$-404.23 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2024 1:45pm ET | $507.91 | 18 | $9,142.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2024 2:45pm ET | $487.02 | 18 | $8,766.36 | $9,253.10 |
$-376.02 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 2:55pm ET | $497.06 | 18 | $8,947.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2024 2:55pm ET | $484.02 | 18 | $8,712.36 | $9,018.38 |
$-234.72 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 3:55pm ET | $486.90 | 18 | $8,764.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 10:35am ET | $526.36 | 18 | $9,474.48 | $9,728.66 |
+$710.28 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 12:35pm ET | $530.68 | 18 | $9,552.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 9:50am ET | $506.60 | 18 | $9,118.71 | $9,295.13 |
$-433.53 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 3:50pm ET | $499.09 | 18 | $8,983.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 10:30am ET | $539.37 | 18 | $9,708.66 | $10,020.17 |
+$725.04 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2024 3:50pm ET | $536.97 | 18 | $9,665.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $493.00 | 18 | $8,874.00 | $9,228.71 |
$-791.46 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 13, 2024 3:45pm ET | $462.13 | 19 | $8,780.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET | $443.06 | 19 | $8,418.14 | $8,866.31 |
$-362.41 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 3:35pm ET | $440.96 | 20 | $8,819.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2025 1:55pm ET | $423.30 | 20 | $8,466.00 | $8,513.21 |
$-353.10 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2025 3:15pm ET | $420.19 | 20 | $8,403.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2025 3:15pm ET | $441.90 | 20 | $8,838.00 | $8,947.51 |
+$434.30 (+5.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 12:05pm ET | $439.59 | 20 | $8,791.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 12:05pm ET | $450.33 | 20 | $9,006.50 | $9,162.21 |
+$214.70 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 1:05pm ET | $445.05 | 20 | $8,901.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $393.96 | 20 | $7,879.20 | $8,140.41 |
$-1,021.80 (-11.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $384.86 | 21 | $8,082.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $368.21 | 21 | $7,732.41 | $7,790.76 |
$-349.65 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 1:30pm ET | $355.79 | 21 | $7,471.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $337.00 | 21 | $7,077.00 | $7,396.17 |
$-394.59 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 1:20pm ET | $337.86 | 21 | $7,095.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $364.97 | 21 | $7,664.29 | $7,965.39 |
+$569.23 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 3:50pm ET | $368.96 | 21 | $7,748.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 11:15am ET | $398.75 | 21 | $8,373.75 | $8,590.98 |
+$625.59 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 3:15pm ET | $398.61 | 21 | $8,370.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:15pm ET | $414.09 | 21 | $8,695.89 | $8,916.17 |
+$325.18 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 3:20pm ET | $414.78 | 21 | $8,710.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $393.39 | 21 | $8,261.09 | $8,466.87 |
$-449.30 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $396.89 | 21 | $8,334.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 12:15pm ET | $380.47 | 21 | $7,989.86 | $8,122.05 |
$-344.83 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 3:00pm ET | $374.38 | 21 | $7,861.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 3:00pm ET | $362.80 | 21 | $7,618.80 | $7,878.87 |
$-243.18 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 3:00pm ET | $366.46 | 21 | $7,695.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:55am ET | $351.63 | 21 | $7,384.23 | $7,567.44 |
$-311.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $339.27 | 22 | $7,463.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $363.72 | 22 | $8,001.73 | $8,105.23 |
+$537.79 (+7.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 3:45pm ET | $356.49 | 22 | $7,842.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 11:25am ET | $342.17 | 22 | $7,527.74 | $7,790.19 |
$-315.04 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 3:45pm ET | $347.14 | 22 | $7,637.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 3:45pm ET | $352.81 | 22 | $7,761.71 | $7,914.82 |
+$124.63 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $354.29 | 22 | $7,794.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $340.03 | 22 | $7,480.55 | $7,600.99 |
$-313.83 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:20pm ET | $339.13 | 22 | $7,460.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 2:20pm ET | $337.72 | 22 | $7,429.84 | $7,569.97 |
$-31.02 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 3:45pm ET | $334.74 | 22 | $7,364.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $320.04 | 22 | $7,040.88 | $7,246.57 |
$-323.40 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $315.21 | 22 | $6,934.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $341.15 | 22 | $7,505.27 | $7,817.33 |
+$570.76 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $339.12 | 23 | $7,799.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $353.06 | 23 | $8,120.38 | $8,137.95 |
+$320.62 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET | $349.98 | 23 | $8,049.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $335.35 | 23 | $7,713.05 | $7,801.46 |
$-336.49 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $330.13 | 23 | $7,593.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $316.40 | 23 | $7,277.20 | $7,485.66 |
$-315.80 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $304.62 | 24 | $7,310.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $292.12 | 24 | $7,010.88 | $7,185.66 |
$-300.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $292.34 | 24 | $7,016.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $280.60 | 24 | $6,734.40 | $6,904.02 |
$-281.64 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $281.60 | 24 | $6,758.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $270.20 | 24 | $6,484.92 | $6,630.54 |
$-273.48 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $266.67 | 24 | $6,399.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $267.97 | 24 | $6,431.28 | $6,661.86 |
+$31.32 (+0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $260.29 | 25 | $6,507.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $249.23 | 25 | $6,230.63 | $6,385.17 |
$-276.69 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $254.60 | 25 | $6,364.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $275.08 | 25 | $6,877.00 | $6,897.29 |
+$512.12 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $281.41 | 24 | $6,753.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $269.50 | 24 | $6,468.00 | $6,611.45 |
$-285.84 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $273.73 | 24 | $6,569.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $252.22 | 24 | $6,053.28 | $6,095.21 |
$-516.24 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $248.44 | 24 | $5,962.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $238.49 | 24 | $5,723.76 | $5,856.41 |
$-238.80 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $237.34 | 24 | $5,696.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $227.77 | 24 | $5,466.60 | $5,626.85 |
$-229.56 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.13 | 24 | $5,475.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.55 | 24 | $6,037.20 | $6,188.93 |
+$562.08 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,188.93
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,811.07
Total Return:
-38.11%