AXP Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 56 trades executed
+99.04%
2 Years Return
$24,032.16
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$12,074.25
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
22.5/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality
60.0/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 50.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,837
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,074.25
Current Value
$24,032.16
Total P&L
$11,957.91
Max Drawdown
-21.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
49
Winners / Losers
26 /
23
Best Trade
+10.98%
Worst Trade
-5.55%
Avg Trade Return
+1.52%
Avg Hold Time
12.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,624,779.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,957.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,957.91
Gross Return
+99.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+99.04%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,074.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2024 3:50pm ET | $238.73 | 51 | $12,175.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2024 3:50pm ET | $242.03 | 51 | $12,343.53 | $12,480.73 |
+$168.30 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2024 3:50pm ET | $241.64 | 51 | $12,323.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2024 3:50pm ET | $235.07 | 51 | $11,988.57 | $12,145.66 |
$-335.07 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2024 3:50pm ET | $233.68 | 51 | $11,917.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2024 2:00pm ET | $224.10 | 51 | $11,429.10 | $11,657.08 |
$-488.58 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2024 3:00pm ET | $222.72 | 52 | $11,581.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $235.97 | 52 | $12,270.18 | $12,345.82 |
+$688.74 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2024 9:30am ET | $238.63 | 51 | $12,169.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $245.89 | 51 | $12,540.39 | $12,716.33 |
+$370.51 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $250.99 | 50 | $12,549.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 10:05am ET | $240.34 | 50 | $12,017.00 | $12,184.08 |
$-532.25 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $228.59 | 53 | $12,115.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $248.92 | 53 | $13,192.76 | $13,261.57 |
+$1,077.49 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $249.60 | 53 | $13,228.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $252.60 | 53 | $13,387.80 | $13,420.57 |
+$159.00 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $249.06 | 53 | $13,200.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $269.02 | 53 | $14,257.82 | $14,478.21 |
+$1,057.64 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $268.58 | 53 | $14,234.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $272.29 | 53 | $14,431.37 | $14,674.84 |
+$196.63 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2024 1:25pm ET | $276.02 | 53 | $14,629.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2024 12:25pm ET | $271.47 | 53 | $14,387.91 | $14,433.69 |
$-241.15 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2024 3:30pm ET | $275.42 | 52 | $14,321.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 22, 2024 10:55am ET | $297.78 | 52 | $15,484.56 | $15,596.41 |
+$1,162.72 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 3:40pm ET | $305.42 | 51 | $15,576.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 3:40pm ET | $303.33 | 51 | $15,469.58 | $15,489.57 |
$-106.85 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2024 3:55pm ET | $301.22 | 51 | $15,362.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $287.21 | 51 | $14,647.71 | $14,775.06 |
$-714.51 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $294.21 | 50 | $14,710.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $299.66 | 50 | $14,983.13 | $15,047.93 |
+$272.88 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 3:05pm ET | $296.94 | 50 | $14,847.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $321.00 | 50 | $16,050.00 | $16,250.93 |
+$1,203.00 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2025 12:55pm ET | $326.03 | 49 | $15,975.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $312.79 | 49 | $15,326.71 | $15,602.17 |
$-648.76 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 2:05pm ET | $315.44 | 49 | $15,456.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 2:05pm ET | $310.43 | 49 | $15,210.83 | $15,356.44 |
$-245.73 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $309.86 | 49 | $15,183.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 1:05pm ET | $297.40 | 49 | $14,572.60 | $14,745.90 |
$-610.54 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $297.15 | 49 | $14,560.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $284.76 | 49 | $13,953.00 | $14,138.59 |
$-607.31 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 2:40pm ET | $275.97 | 51 | $14,074.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $264.11 | 51 | $13,469.61 | $13,533.73 |
$-604.86 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $257.02 | 52 | $13,365.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 3:40pm ET | $277.77 | 52 | $14,444.04 | $14,612.73 |
+$1,079.00 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $279.29 | 52 | $14,523.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 9:55am ET | $267.64 | 52 | $13,917.28 | $14,006.93 |
$-605.80 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 1:10pm ET | $267.20 | 52 | $13,894.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $256.26 | 52 | $13,325.52 | $13,438.31 |
$-568.62 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 12:20pm ET | $236.86 | 56 | $13,264.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $223.71 | 56 | $12,527.76 | $12,701.91 |
$-736.40 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $230.60 | 55 | $12,682.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $254.35 | 55 | $13,989.25 | $14,008.44 |
+$1,306.53 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 3:45pm ET | $243.76 | 57 | $13,894.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $264.63 | 57 | $15,083.91 | $15,198.03 |
+$1,189.59 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 12:25pm ET | $266.58 | 57 | $15,194.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $295.84 | 57 | $16,862.88 | $16,866.13 |
+$1,668.11 (+11.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 2:05pm ET | $302.45 | 55 | $16,634.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 1:05pm ET | $290.13 | 55 | $15,957.15 | $16,188.81 |
$-677.33 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 2:00pm ET | $287.87 | 56 | $16,120.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 2:00pm ET | $297.96 | 56 | $16,685.96 | $16,754.05 |
+$565.24 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 3:45pm ET | $286.78 | 58 | $16,632.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $310.29 | 58 | $17,996.82 | $18,117.92 |
+$1,363.87 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $309.64 | 58 | $17,959.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $311.70 | 58 | $18,078.60 | $18,237.40 |
+$119.48 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 3:50pm ET | $308.14 | 59 | $18,180.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $291.38 | 59 | $17,191.13 | $17,248.26 |
$-989.13 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 11:50am ET | $296.98 | 58 | $17,224.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 11:00am ET | $321.47 | 58 | $18,645.26 | $18,668.62 |
+$1,420.36 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 1:25pm ET | $316.20 | 59 | $18,655.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 1:25pm ET | $326.25 | 59 | $19,248.46 | $19,261.28 |
+$592.66 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 3:50pm ET | $327.82 | 58 | $19,013.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:50pm ET | $327.81 | 58 | $19,012.98 | $19,260.99 |
$-0.29 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 9:45am ET | $326.95 | 58 | $18,963.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 9:50am ET | $353.13 | 58 | $20,481.74 | $20,779.43 |
+$1,518.44 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 2:20pm ET | $350.53 | 59 | $20,681.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:20pm ET | $373.69 | 59 | $22,047.71 | $22,145.87 |
+$1,366.44 (+6.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 3:25pm ET | $364.34 | 60 | $21,860.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:30pm ET | $348.73 | 60 | $20,923.50 | $21,208.97 |
$-936.90 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $341.79 | 62 | $21,190.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $369.20 | 62 | $22,890.09 | $22,908.08 |
+$1,699.11 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 3:30pm ET | $371.18 | 61 | $22,641.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $381.01 | 61 | $23,241.61 | $23,507.71 |
+$599.63 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:40pm ET | $377.22 | 62 | $23,387.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.55 | 62 | $22,292.10 | $22,412.17 |
$-1,095.54 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $359.02 | 62 | $22,259.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $347.76 | 62 | $21,561.12 | $21,714.05 |
$-698.12 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.07 | 61 | $21,415.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $364.90 | 61 | $22,258.89 | $22,557.67 |
+$843.62 (+3.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $344.46 | 65 | $22,390.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $328.77 | 65 | $21,370.05 | $21,537.49 |
$-1,020.18 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.80 | 64 | $21,363.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $320.12 | 64 | $20,487.69 | $20,661.98 |
$-875.51 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $301.83 | 68 | $20,524.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $300.09 | 68 | $20,406.12 | $20,543.32 |
$-118.66 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.49 | 69 | $20,457.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $321.30 | 69 | $22,170.04 | $22,255.56 |
+$1,712.24 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $313.73 | 70 | $21,961.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $339.11 | 70 | $23,737.70 | $24,032.16 |
+$1,776.60 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$24,032.16
Net Profit/Loss:
+$14,032.16
Total Return:
+140.32%