Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:28:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.4/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 55.9/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 43.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
523 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,453.56
Current Value
$15,175.76
Total P&L
$5,722.22
Max Drawdown
-8.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
19 / 14
Best Trade
+8.49%
Worst Trade
-5.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.55%
Avg Hold Time
18.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$749,280.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,722.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,722.22
Gross Return
+60.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+60.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 523 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,453.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 3:50pm ET $149.34 63 $9,408.41
🔴 SELL May 24, 2024 3:50pm ET $147.06 63 $9,264.47 $9,297.64 $-143.95
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2024 3:55pm ET $144.42 64 $9,242.88
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 3:55pm ET $145.71 64 $9,325.44 $9,380.20 +$82.56
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2024 3:30pm ET $148.97 62 $9,236.14
🔴 SELL Jul 12, 2024 3:30pm ET $150.58 62 $9,335.96 $9,480.02 +$99.82
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2024 3:50pm ET $149.23 63 $9,401.18
🔴 SELL Jul 26, 2024 10:55am ET $161.19 63 $10,154.97 $10,233.81 +$753.80
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2024 3:45pm ET $159.37 64 $10,199.68
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2024 3:45pm ET $159.90 64 $10,233.28 $10,267.41 +$33.60
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2024 3:50pm ET $160.01 64 $10,240.64
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2024 3:50pm ET $167.68 64 $10,731.52 $10,758.29 +$490.88
(+4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $164.80 65 $10,712.00
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2024 3:55pm ET $161.17 65 $10,476.05 $10,522.34 $-235.95
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2024 3:55pm ET $160.48 65 $10,431.20
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2024 3:55pm ET $163.65 65 $10,637.25 $10,728.39 +$206.05
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 25, 2024 3:55pm ET $160.87 66 $10,617.42
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 9:50am ET $154.33 66 $10,185.45 $10,296.42 $-431.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 2:10pm ET $153.17 67 $10,262.39
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 2:10pm ET $150.88 67 $10,108.96 $10,142.99 $-153.43
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 3:05pm ET $149.14 68 $10,141.52
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2024 3:05pm ET $145.38 68 $9,885.67 $9,887.14 $-255.85
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 3:50pm ET $145.20 68 $9,873.26
🔴 SELL Jan 17, 2025 3:50pm ET $147.12 68 $10,004.16 $10,018.04 +$130.90
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $148.17 67 $9,927.39
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $156.12 67 $10,460.04 $10,550.69 +$532.65
(+5.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2025 2:20pm ET $158.05 66 $10,431.30
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 2:20pm ET $165.14 66 $10,899.19 $11,018.58 +$467.89
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 2:25pm ET $167.24 65 $10,870.60
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 3:25pm ET $163.85 65 $10,649.93 $10,797.90 $-220.68
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $153.24 70 $10,726.80
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $145.21 70 $10,164.70 $10,235.80 $-562.10
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $148.02 69 $10,213.38
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:45pm ET $154.87 69 $10,686.03 $10,708.45 +$472.65
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 2:30pm ET $155.41 68 $10,567.54
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 11:10am ET $149.02 68 $10,133.36 $10,274.27 $-434.18
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $148.45 69 $10,243.05
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET $152.98 69 $10,555.62 $10,586.84 +$312.57
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET $155.09 68 $10,546.12
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 9:30am ET $151.54 68 $10,304.38 $10,345.10 $-241.74
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $152.77 67 $10,235.59
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 11:40am ET $165.74 67 $11,104.58 $11,214.09 +$868.99
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 9:30am ET $164.11 68 $11,159.48
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET $172.16 68 $11,706.71 $11,761.32 +$547.23
(+4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $174.53 67 $11,693.51
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $177.98 67 $11,924.33 $11,992.14 +$230.82
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $178.03 67 $11,927.79
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET $176.43 67 $11,820.48 $11,884.82 $-107.31
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $177.79 66 $11,734.14
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET $192.24 66 $12,687.51 $12,838.19 +$953.37
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $191.91 66 $12,665.73
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 2:35pm ET $186.74 66 $12,324.51 $12,496.97 $-341.22
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $186.36 67 $12,486.12
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET $201.41 67 $13,494.14 $13,504.99 +$1,008.02
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $203.56 66 $13,434.96
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:40pm ET $210.06 66 $13,863.96 $13,933.99 +$429.00
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
29 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:30pm ET $211.39 65 $13,740.35
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $206.24 65 $13,405.60 $13,599.24 $-334.75
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $204.05 66 $13,467.30
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $221.11 66 $14,593.26 $14,725.20 +$1,125.96
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $219.90 66 $14,513.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $237.57 66 $15,679.62 $15,891.42 +$1,166.22
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $239.99 66 $15,839.01
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $238.63 66 $15,749.58 $15,801.99 $-89.43
(-0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $243.49 64 $15,583.04
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET $233.70 64 $14,956.81 $15,175.76 $-626.23
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,175.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,175.76
Total Return: +51.76%
Back to Victor Volume