Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 17:21:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
7.7/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 74.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 56.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,748
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$19,728.46
Current Value
$22,705.00
Period P&L
$2,976.56
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+8.89%
Worst Trade
-9.86%
Avg Trade Return
+2.30%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$290,968.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,976.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,976.56
Gross Return
+15.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $19,728.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 1:15pm ET $501.72 39 $19,566.90
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $481.32 39 $18,771.48 $18,933.02 $-795.42
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $475.63 39 $18,549.38
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:50pm ET $456.38 39 $17,798.82 $18,182.46 $-750.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $383.57 47 $18,027.78
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $417.68 47 $19,630.96 $19,785.64 +$1,603.18
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $462.80 42 $19,437.60
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $503.20 42 $21,134.40 $21,482.44 +$1,696.80
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $527.86 40 $21,114.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:25am ET $570.75 40 $22,830.00 $23,198.04 +$1,715.60
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 33 $22,930.71
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $752.71 33 $24,839.43 $25,106.76 +$1,908.72
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $761.54 32 $24,369.28
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $686.48 32 $21,967.52 $22,705.00 $-2,401.76
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,705.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,705.00
Total Return: +127.05%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk