Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:24:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
41.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
83.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,445
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$18,537.97
Current Value
$25,339.90
Period P&L
$6,801.94
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+12.79%
Worst Trade
-4.43%
Avg Trade Return
+3.11%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$486,520.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,801.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,801.94
Gross Return
+36.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $18,537.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $26.01 712 $18,519.12
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:25am ET $24.92 712 $17,741.12 $17,759.96 $-778.00
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $23.65 750 $17,737.50
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $26.68 750 $20,006.25 $20,028.71 +$2,268.75
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
3 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 11:10am ET $28.66 698 $20,004.68
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 9:30am ET $27.48 698 $19,178.39 $19,202.42 $-826.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $25.58 750 $19,184.70
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:20am ET $27.72 750 $20,790.00 $20,807.72 +$1,605.30
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 1:40pm ET $26.41 787 $20,784.67
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $28.69 787 $22,579.03 $22,602.08 +$1,794.36
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:35am ET $27.68 816 $22,586.88
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 1:10pm ET $26.53 816 $21,652.07 $21,667.27 $-934.81
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 3:30pm ET $25.81 839 $21,650.40
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $27.87 839 $23,382.93 $23,399.81 +$1,732.54
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 9:30am ET $30.85 758 $23,384.30
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 11:05am ET $33.47 758 $25,371.09 $25,386.60 +$1,986.79
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $33.65 754 $25,372.02
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:20am ET $32.16 754 $24,248.64 $24,263.21 $-1,123.38
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $32.07 756 $24,244.92
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 10:05am ET $34.90 756 $26,384.48 $26,402.77 +$2,139.56
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $34.14 773 $26,390.22
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 9:45am ET $32.77 773 $25,327.35 $25,339.90 $-1,062.88
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,339.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,339.90
Total Return: +153.40%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk