Compendium › Victor Yield Hawk › PG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PG
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Yield Hawk's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-3.81%
Last Year Return
$12,347.31
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,836.95
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
54.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,080
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,836.95
Current Value
$12,347.31
Period P&L
$-489.64
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+4.20%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.91%
Avg Hold Time
17.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$102,356.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-489.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-489.64
Gross Return
-3.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $12,836.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 3:45pm ET $160.64 79 $12,690.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 3:45pm ET $167.39 79 $13,223.81 $13,370.40 +$533.45
(+4.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $162.78 82 $13,347.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.67 82 $13,010.94 $13,033.38 $-337.02
(-2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $160.50 81 $13,000.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:20am ET $153.95 81 $12,469.95 $12,502.83 $-530.55
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 3:05pm ET $152.89 81 $12,384.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $150.97 81 $12,228.57 $12,347.31 $-155.52
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,347.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,347.31
Total Return: +23.47%
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