Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
8.3/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 47.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,941
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
257 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$17,243.98
Current Value
$16,003.98
Period P&L
$-1,240.00
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+8.01%
Worst Trade
-9.01%
Avg Trade Return
-1.31%
Avg Hold Time
10.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,606.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,240.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,240.00
Gross Return
-7.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 257 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $17,243.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:45am ET $164.49 104 $17,106.96
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 11:45am ET $177.67 104 $18,477.68 $18,614.70 +$1,370.72
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 2:20pm ET $179.21 103 $18,458.63
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $184.06 103 $18,958.18 $19,114.25 +$499.55
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 1:20pm ET $181.11 105 $19,016.55
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $164.79 105 $17,302.43 $17,400.12 $-1,714.13
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 3:40pm ET $165.00 105 $17,325.00
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 10:30am ET $158.14 105 $16,604.87 $16,679.99 $-720.13
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $165.16 100 $16,516.01
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $158.40 100 $15,840.00 $16,003.98 $-676.01
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,003.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,003.98
Total Return: +60.04%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk