Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:19

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
70.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
63.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,642
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,847.22
Current Value
$16,609.03
Total P&L
$5,761.81
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.59

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+10.91%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
+3.41%
Avg Hold Time
12.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$423,036.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,761.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,761.81
Gross Return
+53.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+53.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $10,847.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2024 3:25pm ET $172.73 59 $10,191.07
🔴 SELL May 13, 2024 12:40pm ET $186.64 59 $11,011.47 $11,158.45 +$820.40
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2024 1:50pm ET $186.97 59 $11,030.94
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2024 1:50pm ET $194.64 59 $11,483.76 $11,611.27 +$452.82
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 9:30am ET $194.99 59 $11,504.40
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2024 9:35am ET $211.42 59 $12,473.70 $12,580.57 +$969.29
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET $213.34 58 $12,373.72
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2024 9:40am ET $230.86 58 $13,389.59 $13,596.44 +$1,015.87
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $225.19 60 $13,511.40
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $234.71 60 $14,082.36 $14,167.40 +$570.96
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $248.46 57 $14,162.22
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET $242.50 57 $13,822.50 $13,827.68 $-339.72
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET $245.96 56 $13,773.76
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 10:50am ET $236.08 56 $13,220.33 $13,274.25 $-553.43
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $233.89 56 $13,097.56
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET $222.32 56 $12,449.92 $12,626.61 $-647.64
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $222.59 56 $12,465.04
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $245.29 56 $13,735.96 $13,897.53 +$1,270.92
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $230.07 60 $13,804.36
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $248.52 60 $14,910.90 $15,004.07 +$1,106.54
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:50am ET $188.11 79 $14,860.69
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $208.63 79 $16,481.79 $16,625.16 +$1,621.10
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $193.49 85 $16,446.65
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $209.09 85 $17,772.76 $17,951.27 +$1,326.11
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:40am ET $207.39 86 $17,835.55
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $196.50 86 $16,899.00 $17,014.73 $-936.55
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
14 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $200.19 84 $16,815.96
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $195.64 84 $16,433.76 $16,632.53 $-382.20
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $214.41 77 $16,509.19
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $214.10 77 $16,485.70 $16,609.03 $-23.49
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,609.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,609.03
Total Return: +66.09%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk