Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 17:20:21

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
7.7/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 74.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 56.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,717
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,318.75
Current Value
$22,705.00
Total P&L
$10,386.27
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
22
Winners / Losers
14 / 8
Best Trade
+8.89%
Worst Trade
-9.86%
Avg Trade Return
+3.04%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$721,678.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,386.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,386.27
Gross Return
+84.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+84.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $12,318.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 2:55pm ET $389.07 31 $12,061.17
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2024 10:15am ET $372.68 31 $11,553.08 $11,810.66 $-508.09
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $321.48 36 $11,573.37
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $347.91 36 $12,524.76 $12,762.05 +$951.39
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 9:30am ET $350.42 36 $12,615.12
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 10:20am ET $335.42 36 $12,075.12 $12,222.05 $-540.00
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 3:45pm ET $343.64 35 $12,027.40
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 3:50pm ET $371.96 35 $13,018.64 $13,213.28 +$991.24
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $369.13 35 $12,919.48
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET $353.50 35 $12,372.50 $12,666.30 $-546.98
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET $348.98 36 $12,563.10
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $350.54 36 $12,619.44 $12,722.64 +$56.34
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $336.97 37 $12,467.89
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:10pm ET $364.53 37 $13,487.61 $13,742.36 +$1,019.72
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $363.38 37 $13,445.06
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2025 10:00am ET $394.94 37 $14,612.78 $14,910.08 +$1,167.72
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2025 3:25pm ET $399.91 37 $14,796.49
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2025 1:45pm ET $432.17 37 $15,990.29 $16,103.88 +$1,193.81
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $435.52 36 $15,678.72
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 10:30am ET $418.03 36 $15,049.01 $15,474.17 $-629.71
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 3:15pm ET $395.61 39 $15,428.79
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 9:45am ET $379.37 39 $14,795.53 $14,840.91 $-633.26
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $365.60 40 $14,624.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 11:15am ET $394.90 40 $15,796.00 $16,012.91 +$1,172.00
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $370.53 43 $15,932.79
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 9:45am ET $401.04 43 $17,244.72 $17,324.84 +$1,311.93
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $426.95 40 $17,077.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:35am ET $461.19 40 $18,447.40 $18,694.44 +$1,369.60
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 12:10pm ET $460.97 40 $18,438.80
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $486.82 40 $19,472.80 $19,728.44 +$1,034.00
(+5.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 1:15pm ET $501.72 39 $19,566.90
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $481.32 39 $18,771.48 $18,933.02 $-795.42
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $475.63 39 $18,549.38
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:50pm ET $456.38 39 $17,798.82 $18,182.46 $-750.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $383.57 47 $18,027.78
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $417.68 47 $19,630.96 $19,785.64 +$1,603.18
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
19 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $462.80 42 $19,437.60
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $503.20 42 $21,134.40 $21,482.44 +$1,696.80
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $527.86 40 $21,114.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:25am ET $570.75 40 $22,830.00 $23,198.04 +$1,715.60
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 33 $22,930.71
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $752.71 33 $24,839.43 $25,106.76 +$1,908.72
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $761.54 32 $24,369.28
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $686.48 32 $21,967.52 $22,705.00 $-2,401.76
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,705.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,705.00
Total Return: +127.05%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk