Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:40

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
54.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,534
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
523 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,498.58
Current Value
$12,347.31
Total P&L
$1,848.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+8.35%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.48%
Avg Hold Time
18.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$311,070.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,848.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,848.73
Gross Return
+17.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 523 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $10,498.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2024 9:30am ET $162.20 63 $10,218.60
🔴 SELL May 21, 2024 9:30am ET $167.42 63 $10,547.20 $10,667.16 +$328.60
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY May 24, 2024 3:50pm ET $165.30 64 $10,579.20
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2024 3:50pm ET $166.51 64 $10,656.64 $10,744.60 +$77.44
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 3:00pm ET $162.91 65 $10,589.15
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 3:00pm ET $168.23 65 $10,934.95 $11,090.40 +$345.80
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 3:55pm ET $161.04 68 $10,950.72
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 9:30am ET $174.48 68 $11,864.64 $12,004.32 +$913.92
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $170.82 70 $11,957.40
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET $165.96 70 $11,617.21 $11,664.12 $-340.19
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 1:25pm ET $161.22 72 $11,607.85
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 1:25pm ET $168.80 72 $12,153.60 $12,209.88 +$545.75
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 2:20pm ET $166.52 73 $12,155.89
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $165.52 73 $12,082.96 $12,136.95 $-72.93
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $166.51 72 $11,988.72
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 10:20am ET $179.91 72 $12,953.52 $13,101.75 +$964.80
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $163.26 80 $13,060.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $159.95 80 $12,795.60 $12,836.95 $-264.80
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 3:45pm ET $160.64 79 $12,690.36
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 3:45pm ET $167.39 79 $13,223.81 $13,370.40 +$533.45
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $162.78 82 $13,347.96
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.67 82 $13,010.94 $13,033.38 $-337.02
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $160.50 81 $13,000.50
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:20am ET $153.95 81 $12,469.95 $12,502.83 $-530.55
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 3:05pm ET $152.89 81 $12,384.09
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $150.97 81 $12,228.57 $12,347.31 $-155.52
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,347.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,347.31
Total Return: +23.47%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk