Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:58:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
8.3/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 47.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,283
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
513 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,634.95
Current Value
$16,003.98
Total P&L
$5,369.03
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
11 / 5
Best Trade
+12.09%
Worst Trade
-9.01%
Avg Trade Return
+2.92%
Avg Hold Time
14d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$453,057.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,369.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,369.03
Gross Return
+50.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 513 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $10,634.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2024 3:50pm ET $95.34 109 $10,391.52
🔴 SELL May 20, 2024 3:50pm ET $99.73 109 $10,870.57 $10,871.47 +$479.06
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2024 11:55am ET $101.06 107 $10,813.42
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2024 11:55am ET $103.19 107 $11,041.33 $11,099.38 +$227.91
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 3:05pm ET $101.44 109 $11,057.41
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 3:05pm ET $107.20 109 $11,684.80 $11,726.78 +$627.39
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 2:10pm ET $124.45 94 $11,698.30
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 2:10pm ET $129.91 94 $12,211.54 $12,240.02 +$513.24
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $126.79 96 $12,171.84
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2024 9:30am ET $121.55 96 $11,668.80 $11,736.98 $-503.04
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 3:45pm ET $121.37 96 $11,651.52
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 9:50am ET $116.35 96 $11,169.60 $11,255.06 $-481.92
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 9:55am ET $117.59 95 $11,171.05
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 12:40pm ET $127.01 95 $12,065.95 $12,149.96 +$894.90
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 3:50pm ET $130.42 93 $12,129.06
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET $146.19 93 $13,595.67 $13,616.57 +$1,466.61
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $144.04 94 $13,539.76
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 9:40am ET $155.73 94 $14,638.62 $14,715.43 +$1,098.86
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 12:30pm ET $150.15 98 $14,714.70
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 9:30am ET $162.87 98 $15,961.26 $15,961.99 +$1,246.56
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 2:10pm ET $159.61 100 $15,961.01
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 12:10pm ET $172.43 100 $17,243.00 $17,243.98 +$1,281.99
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:45am ET $164.49 104 $17,106.96
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 11:45am ET $177.67 104 $18,477.68 $18,614.70 +$1,370.72
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 2:20pm ET $179.21 103 $18,458.63
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $184.06 103 $18,958.18 $19,114.25 +$499.55
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 1:20pm ET $181.11 105 $19,016.55
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $164.79 105 $17,302.43 $17,400.12 $-1,714.13
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 3:40pm ET $165.00 105 $17,325.00
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 10:30am ET $158.14 105 $16,604.87 $16,679.99 $-720.13
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $165.16 100 $16,516.01
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $158.40 100 $15,840.00 $16,003.98 $-676.01
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,003.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,003.98
Total Return: +60.04%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk