Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:49:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
67.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
63.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
84,512
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,778.63
Current Value
$10,760.92
Total P&L
$982.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+3.63%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
21.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$247,149.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$982.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$982.29
Gross Return
+10.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $9,778.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 26, 2024 2:55pm ET $88.29 108 $9,535.15
🔴 SELL May 17, 2024 2:55pm ET $91.41 108 $9,872.28 $9,921.19 +$337.13
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2024 3:55pm ET $91.60 108 $9,892.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $91.83 108 $9,917.59 $9,945.97 +$24.79
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2024 9:35am ET $90.73 109 $9,889.57
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2024 9:35am ET $92.78 109 $10,113.02 $10,169.42 +$223.45
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $89.75 113 $10,141.75
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $93.01 113 $10,510.13 $10,537.80 +$368.38
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 12:40pm ET $90.30 116 $10,474.80
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 12:40pm ET $87.40 116 $10,138.40 $10,201.40 $-336.40
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $86.91 117 $10,168.47
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $88.31 117 $10,332.27 $10,365.20 +$163.80
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $88.16 117 $10,314.72
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $88.11 117 $10,308.29 $10,358.77 $-6.43
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $88.58 116 $10,274.70
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET $90.06 116 $10,447.35 $10,531.42 +$172.65
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $87.76 120 $10,531.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $88.61 120 $10,633.20 $10,633.42 +$102.00
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $86.48 122 $10,550.56
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $85.33 122 $10,409.65 $10,492.51 $-140.91
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 1:55pm ET $85.05 123 $10,461.15
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 1:55pm ET $87.41 123 $10,751.43 $10,782.79 +$290.28
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 2:55pm ET $86.01 125 $10,751.25
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 2:55pm ET $85.84 125 $10,729.38 $10,760.92 $-21.88
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,760.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$760.92
Total Return: +7.61%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk