Compendium › Wally Whale › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 5 trades in period

-17.71%
Last 3 Months Return
$17,312.09
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$20,702.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 27.4/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 21.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,816
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,702.37
Current Value
$17,312.09
Period P&L
$-3,665.41
Max Drawdown
-60.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-7.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
0 / 5
Best Trade
-2.60%
Worst Trade
-4.02%
Avg Trade Return
-3.32%
Avg Hold Time
7.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$190,392.64
Estimated Fees
$475.98
Gross P&L
$-3,665.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,141.39
Gross Return
-17.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $20,702.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.00000384 5,391,242,188 $20,702.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET $0.00000374 5,391,242,188 $20,163.25 $20,061.08 $-641.29
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET $0.00000374 5,363,925,134 $20,061.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET $0.00000362 5,363,925,134 $19,417.41 $19,318.71 $-742.37
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $0.00000418 4,621,700,957 $19,318.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:10pm ET $0.00000404 4,621,700,957 $18,671.67 $18,671.67 $-742.01
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:00pm ET $0.00000412 4,531,959,191 $18,671.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 5:30am ET $0.00000398 4,531,959,191 $18,037.20 $18,037.20 $-726.25
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 5:30am ET $0.00000398 4,531,959,191 $18,037.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET $0.00000382 4,531,959,191 $17,312.08 $17,312.09 $-813.49
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,312.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,312.09
Total Return: +73.12%
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